According to a poll published today, President of Argentina Cristina Fernández is shown as the favorite to win next October’s elections, even though she has kept quiet her intentions of running.
Her biggest rival seems to be the Mayor of Buenos Aires, Mauricio Macri, leader of the conservative party, Propuesta Republicana (Pro), who seems to hold 11.8% of voter support.
With these levels of public support, President Fernández would be able to win the presidential elections on the first round of voting taking place on October 16th.
Behind the current president and Macri is Representative Ricardo Alfonsín, son of the late Raúl Alfonsín, former president of Argentina. He is a member of the social democratic party, Unión Cívica Radical (UCR), second parliamentary force, with 10.4% of the voter’s support.
The current vice-president, Julio Cobos, member of the opposition since March of 2008, is currently in fourth place with 7.8%, although he will have to beat out Alfonsín in the party elections for the candidature.
The poll, published by the Buenos Aires newspaper Página/12, was carried out by CEOP with a sample of 1.288 citizens across the country, and coincides with other polls published over the past weeks.
The popularity of President Fernández remains up due to support from people “under 50 years of age of low socioeconomic level and residents of the provinces” pointed out the director of CEOP, Roberto Bacman.
Ten days ago another poll showed that the president’s popularity had gone down in the last few months, but that she still remains the favorite to win.
Fernández, whose followers of the governing party, Partido Justicialista (Perosnista), ask that she opt for reelection, hold 29% voter support. This figure has dropped from 38.7% registered in the month of November according to a poll carried out during the first week of the year by the firm Management & Fit.
2.015 residents of Buenos Aires and its surrounding areas, where a fourth of the country’s population of over 40 million resides, were polled. Results of the poll showed that the current leader of Argentina has an ample advantage to her opposition and also showed that half of the people polled still had not decided who they were going to vote for in the upcoming elections.
Fernández’s popularity had shot up to more than 60% after the death of her husband, former Chief of Staff, Néstor Kirchner.