Friday, June 8th 2012 - 21:06 UTC

Fitch downgrades Repsol rating to BBB- on fears of YPF seizure impact

Repsol, the Spanish oil producer whose Argentine unit YPF was nationalized in April, was cut to the lowest investment grade by Fitch Ratings, the first downgrade since reducing dividends to shore up its finances.

CEO Brufau has yet to see how Repsol is to recover compensation from YPF (Photo Efe)

Fitch reduced Repsol’s credit rating one level to BBB-, the first reduction by any agency since Repsol announced a strategic review on May 29. The outlook for the rating is negative, Fitch said in a statement on Friday.

“The negative outlook is mainly driven by the uncertainty surrounding the execution of the strategic plan at this stage and weakness in the Spanish macroeconomic environment,” Fitch said. “After implementing its financial action plan, Repsol’s ratings could be further downgraded to non-investment grade” if the company doesn’t reduce its debt enough.

Spain’s biggest oil producer last month lowered its dividend payout ratio to 40% to 55% of this year’s profits on May 29. It also plans to bolster production from its remaining assets outside of Argentina by 7% a year through 2016 and add new reserves covering 120% of the oil pumped.

Chairman Antonio Brufau met investors last month to explain his plans to reshape the Madrid-based company after Argentine President Cristina Fernandez nationalized its YPF unit, her country’s largest oil company. Analysts’ concerns have focused on how Repsol will finance its expansion after the seizure. Standard & Poor’s reduced the credit rating to BBB- in April, saying it may cut the company’s debt one more step to junk unless borrowings are lowered.

Fitch assumes that Repsol will not receive any cash compensation from the Argentine government in the short to medium term and will not recover any of the cash lent to The Petersen Group to purchase 25% of YPF capital several years ago.

Repsol shares have declined 46% this year. YPF contributed 26% of 2011 operating profit and had 45% of Repsol 2.2 billion barrels of proven reserves.

 

6 comments Feed

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1 briton (#) Jun 08th, 2012 - 10:51 pm Report abuse
the dye is cast
a warning to all forieng investers in CFKS gravy train.
2 Conqueror (#) Jun 09th, 2012 - 02:49 pm Report abuse
@1 Excuse me. It's a “die”. The singular of “dice”.
3 briton (#) Jun 09th, 2012 - 05:18 pm Report abuse
thanks
4 British_Kirchnerist (#) Jun 10th, 2012 - 11:53 am Report abuse
This is why the capitalist are weaker really, they have no solidarity, instead of rallying round, the financial estblishment are turning on Repsol for having been nationalised! So much for the payback you were all waiting for =)
5 RobWilliams (#) Jun 10th, 2012 - 02:08 pm Report abuse
@4

I don't think you understand, the Ratings agencys are not corrupt and therefore won't distort or create positive figures just because they're “capitalist”, they post realistic figures no matter who they are rating.

They're not 'turning on' Repsol neither is there a lack of 'solidarity', it's called being legitimate and calling it as they see it. Unlike some people they see no benefit in making up financial figures as it's spineless.
6 British_Kirchnerist (#) Jun 11th, 2012 - 12:03 pm Report abuse
Well if they're really unbiased perhaps the fear of them, which has been a driver of failed austerity policies, is misplaced...

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