Friday, November 9th 2012 - 06:19 UTC

Leading pollster dumps October survey because Chileans preferred not to reply

One of Chile’s leading pollsters Adimark GfK announced on Thursday it would not be publishing the political public opinion poll for the month of October because of the high percentage of “no reply” during interviews.

President Piñera is going from a chain of political setbacks

The October ‘political’ poll refers to an assessment of the performance of the government, support, and positive and negative image of the main presidential hopefuls.

In half page ads in the Chilean media, Adimark explained that “as it is known October was a month of elections and despite the fact the poll was taken during that month, as has been usual, our internal quality control determined an unusually high percentage of ‘no reply’ from the interviews”.

Because of this Adimark pointed out that “this situation has prompted us to discard these results”, adding that the monthly polls will resume as soon as possible.

Last month Chile held municipal elections and for the first time the ‘voluntary vote’ system (with automatic registration in the voting roll) was implemented, very much sponsored by the administration of President Sebastian Piñera.

However and as was anticipated by political analysts the new system failed dismally with an abstention rate of over 60%, besides the fact that the ruling coalition suffered a humiliating defeat, probably anticipating that next year the left wing coalition with former president Michelle Bachelet would be returning to rule Chile.

Many voters have never warmed up to billionaire businessman Piñera, whose presidential image has been battered by months of protests for free and improved education, tougher environmental laws and expanded indigenous rights.

“This is a rejection of Piñera as a person and the promises of the Alianza (conservative coalition) that weren’t fulfilled. People expected improved standards of living,” said Ricardo Israel, a political analyst at Chile’s Universidad Autonoma.

Four years ago the Alianza managed to conquer 40.5% of the municipal vote and the ruling Concertación 38%, anticipating the presidential outcome and Piñera’s victory. This time opposition Concertación garnered 43% of the vote and the ruling Alianza, 37%.


8 comments Feed

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1 Guzz (#) Nov 09th, 2012 - 06:30 am Report abuse
*sniff sniff*
You lot smell that?
That the smell of a massive win for Bachelet :)
2 British_Kirchnerist (#) Nov 09th, 2012 - 12:51 pm Report abuse
Embarassing, I've never heard of this happening before

#1 =)
3 Condorito (#) Nov 09th, 2012 - 01:16 pm Report abuse
What are you two on about?
It has nothing to do with who will win the next election. The pollster didn’t achieve a large enough sample to make the poll valid.
It is not surprising, they do the polling by phone, which I find very annoying. I always tell them I am too busy. Maybe I should post less on MP and answer more polls.

Bachelet still hasn’t announced her intention to run. If she doesn’t the Concertacion will struggle to find a strong enough candidate to unite the coalition.

As a matter of curiosity, why do two socialists like yourselves have so much admiration for a leader who stuck so rigidly to the strict fiscal model and presided over a period that saw increased inequality. I am fine with a Bachelet comeback, but why are you not supporting a candidate from one of the leftist parties?
4 ElaineB (#) Nov 09th, 2012 - 03:12 pm Report abuse
@3 In my experience, in Chile people are less keen on strangers asking them questions. In Argentina you only have to greet someone for them to give you their entire life story. Different culture.

Bachelet stuck close to the centre whilst introducing some needed social policies. She was admired by all sides of the political spectrum with the exception of the extreme left and right. The idea that she sits on the far left is just not true.
5 Condorito (#) Nov 09th, 2012 - 05:01 pm Report abuse
Very true.
There is an Argie who lives at the end of my street who I have to avoid as I walk to work. He is nice enough, but if I stop to talk that is my morning gone. The fatal error of asking him how things are will generate a monolog that moves from the wife and kids, to his favourite restaurant in BA, to the house price bubble,...nothing is as it seems..they are all liars...the whole world is corrupt...the gringos are taking over, the Chinese are taking over...the jews are taking over..bla bla...the petrol companies are stealing...the banks are stealing...the government is stealing...his employer is stealing...his colleagues are stealing. It’s no wonder nothing ever gets done over there.
6 ElaineB (#) Nov 10th, 2012 - 01:04 am Report abuse
@5 LOL!

It makes my job very easy in Argentina and a little more tricky in Chile. There I have to work hard at gaining the confidence of people. But that is similar to the UK so I just take my time.....: )
7 Fido Dido (#) Nov 10th, 2012 - 06:49 am Report abuse
The (bogus) free trader Chile doing business with the CIA. Remember, Piñera and Patty O'bumbo are “best friends”.
8 ManRod (#) Nov 12th, 2012 - 10:32 am Report abuse
As a matter of curiosity, why do two socialists like yourselves have so much admiration for a leader who stuck so rigidly to the strict fiscal model and presided over a period that saw increased inequality. I am fine with a Bachelet comeback, but why are you not supporting a candidate from one of the leftist parties? +1

Indeed funny, that both lads (BK and Guzz) believe that Bachelet would change anything in the long term policies of Chile. There will not be a change of a since 30 years working and growing Chilean Model. She didn't change it in her previous presidency, nor will she do in a potential further legislation period. If she succeeds, well... then go on! At least we can trust on consistency of our goals.

PS: Bachelet was not a big friend of your Malvinas cause in opposite to your detested Piñera. You are shooting yourself into your feet xD

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