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Montevideo, September 20th 2017 - 20:16 UTC

Brazil's central bank slashes rate one full percentage point to 8.25%

Saturday, September 9th 2017 - 19:54 UTC
Full article 22 comments
The eighth consecutive cut was announced after the stats agency IBGE, reported that twelve-month inflation in August was 2.46%, lowest in almost two decades. The eighth consecutive cut was announced after the stats agency IBGE, reported that twelve-month inflation in August was 2.46%, lowest in almost two decades.
The bank said the rhythm of rate cuts would slow and “there will be a gradual end to the cycle.” Market expectations point to Selic ending the year at 7.25%. The bank said the rhythm of rate cuts would slow and “there will be a gradual end to the cycle.” Market expectations point to Selic ending the year at 7.25%.

Brazil's central bank slashed its key interest rate this week by a full percentage point to 8.25%, the eighth consecutive cut as the country slowly exits a painful recession. The one percentage point fall in the base Selic rate had been predicted by markets and matched a previous cut in July.

 The decision was announced hours after the government stats agency IBGE reported that inflation notched up only slightly in August, leaving the year-to-date inflation rate of 2.46% the lowest in almost two decades.

Markets expect 3.38% price increases for this year, meaning the government will easily beat its target of 4.5% inflation. That's light years from the 10.67% inflation in 2015 and 6.2% at the end of 2016.

The trend has freed the bank to relax rates and try to spur an economy only just starting to show signs of creeping out of its worst recession on record. The Selic has been lowered from 14.25% in October last year, with the pace of cuts accelerating.

The central bank said the rhythm of rate cuts would slow and that “there will be a gradual end to the cycle.” Market expectations polled by the central bank's Focus weekly magazine point to the Selic ending the year at 7.25%.

Last week the government welcomed an unexpected fall in stubbornly high unemployment from 13 to 12.8%, although much of the growth was from low-quality jobs.

Center-right President Michel Temer, who is battling a criminal charge of corruption, is pushing austerity cuts, looser labor laws and a big privatization program that he says will revive the sickly economy after more than a decade of leftist rule.

In the first quarter of this year, gross domestic product rose 1%, ending eight consecutive quarters of shrinkage. There was a growth of 0.2% in the second quarter.

Analysts believe Brazil will wind up 2017 with 0.5% GDP growth, up from the 0.39% that had been forecast before the second quarter statistics came in last week. The consensus is that Latin America's biggest economy will climb back to 2% growth in 2018.

Top Comments

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  • :o))

    Looks like NOBODY needs money! If in NEED; just approach the World Famous Batista Brothers! After all, “borrowing” from them is less bureaucratic than the Govt. Banks.

    Sep 10th, 2017 - 11:11 am 0
  • DemonTree

    That's still very high if inflation has dropped to 3.38%. And I bet the banks cut interest on savings accounts immediately, but how quick are they to cut interest rates on loans?

    Sep 10th, 2017 - 12:59 pm 0
  • Jack Bauer

    @DT
    For Brazil that rate is excellent, the acumulated rate over the last 12 months being 2,71 %,
    the lowest since 1999.
    You are right, interest on savings accounts and other investments based on the SELIC rate,
    drop immediately, but interest charged on loans or on outstanding debt, doesn't budge (some at 450% per year).....the same as gas at the pump...everytime PB announces a cut in price at the refinery, virtually nothing happens, or a week later, the price per litre drops 2 cents, but any increase comes into effect immediately after the announcement, reflecting increases of 5 to 10%....just following a Brazilian motto, “why simplify things if you can complicate them ?”

    Sep 10th, 2017 - 05:58 pm 0
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