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Montevideo, October 19th 2017 - 01:48 UTC

Macri's Senate candidate leads poll in Buenos Aires province

Thursday, September 28th 2017 - 07:07 UTC
Full article 8 comments
The poll shows 39% of men will vote for Cristina and 38% for Bullrich. When it comes to women, Let's Change is preferred by 41%, and Citizens United, 36%. The poll shows 39% of men will vote for Cristina and 38% for Bullrich. When it comes to women, Let's Change is preferred by 41%, and Citizens United, 36%.

With less than a month to Argentina's midterm elections, the government's Senate candidate in the province of Buenos Aires, Esteban Bullrich has a 39.6% vote intention, three percentage points ahead of ex president Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner, according to the latest M&R and Query public opinion poll.

 This seems to indicate that the Senate three benches dispute in Argentina's largest electoral circuit, with 40% of the national vote, favors president Mauricio Macri's “Let's Change” candidate, since Bullrich is expected to increase its PASO primary performance last August by five percentage points. Cristina Fernandez “Citizens' United” which managed just a 0.20% percentage point lead in the August primary could finally advance to 36.4%, a two percentage point increase.

These percentages indicate a clear polarization of the electorate in the Buenos Aires province between “Let's Change” and “Citizens United” to the detriment of the third most voted candidate last August, Sergio Massa who could see his support drop to just 10.9% with a full loss of five percentage points.

The poll was done between September 23/25 and involved 1.179 interviews.

Reviewing the poll's clues, 39% of men will vote for Cristina while 38% for Bullrich. However when it comes to women, Let's Change is preferred by 41%, and Citizens United, 36%. As to ages, those below 30, have expressed a 44% vote intention for Cristina and 33% for the government' candidate. Likewise Cristina prevails in the age group, 30/49 with a 40% support, compared to 36% for Bullrich. However in the 50 to 65 age group, Bullrich is 15 percentage points ahead of Cristina with 46% vote intention, and above 65, support for the “Let's Change” candidate jumps to 51%.

Finally “Let's Change” and “Citizens United” are the groupings with the strongest vote fidelity, in the range of 90%. This is not the case for Massa with 70% and much less for the fourth candiate Florencio Randazzo who is expected to lose two out of the three votes that supported him in August.

Categories: Politics, Argentina.

Top Comments

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  • imoyaro

    I can't imagine this will make her chances any better...

    http://www.thebubble.com/cristina-kirchner-there-was-corruption-in-my-administration-its-undeniable/

    and this...

    http ://www.thebubble.com/jose-lopez-and-amado-boudou-to-face-new-trial-in-corruption-cases/

    or this...

    http ://www.thebubble.com/trial-of-former-planning-minister-julio-de-vido-in-once-tragedy-case-is-underway/

    Sep 28th, 2017 - 07:53 pm +4
  • Little J

    Hopefully the fact that CFK loses the election will keep her from being a pain in the butt and allow for the country to go foreward without the K “intervention” which has been totally detrimental to Argentina over the last 12 years...........................to say nothing of course of the absolute corruption that has taken placve over this same period..........or even since Nestor K became Mayor of Rio Gallegos - Prov. of Santa Cruz!!

    Sep 28th, 2017 - 09:06 pm +4
  • Zaphod Beeblebrox

    DT,

    “Not looking good for Think and Enrique's predictions that CFK will take back the country in October”

    I can't understand why CFK is even allowed to stand for election given that she is under criminal investigation, but I guess that is the Argentine way.

    Maybe Reekie has learned his lesson after the opinion polls for the primary elections predicting a tie were proven correct in spite of Reekie's claim that this was the beginning of CFK's resurgence? I said at the time that even that tie showed that CFK was losing relevance and Reekie had a hissy fit, but if this opinion poll is also proven correct then I think it shows that Argentine people are starting to see the benefits of Macri's policies feeding through and are losing interest in CFK. She simply didn't deliver. What a shame. ;-)

    Come back Reekie, Think and Trolly. It is quiet around here without your unintentional comedy input. :-)

    Oct 03rd, 2017 - 05:38 pm 0
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