Brazil’s incumbent presidential candidate takes the lead over main rival
Brazil's ruling Workers' Party presidential candidate Dilma Rousseff, has a five percentage-point lead over her main rival Jose Serra, according to the latest opinion poll released Friday.
Rousseff gained 39% of voter support while Serra, from the Brazilian Social Democracy Party, received 34%, and former Environment minister Marin Silva from the Green Party 10%, showed a survey conducted by Ibope Institute.
Another survey released last week showed Rousseff ahead of her rival by eight percentage points.
The same poll taken a month ago showed Rousseff and Serra tied with 39% support each.
The survey polled 2,506 voters in 174 Brazilian municipalities between July 26 and 29 and had a margin of error of two percentage points.
However a June Datafolha poll published this month by Folha de Sao Paulo showed Rousseff and Serra in a technical tie: the incumbent candidate polled 36% of voter intention against 37% for former Sao Paulo state.
The first round of Brazilian elections is scheduled for October 3. If no candidate garners 50% of the ballots plus one a run-off will take place October 31.
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How many times has the President now been fined for illegally compaigning on behalf of his chosen successor?
That is incorrect. A candidate can be elected president if he (or she) garners more total votes than all of his (or her) opponents combined.
According to Ibope, Rousseff has 39% of total votes. Serra has 34%; Marina Silva has 7%. All the other candidates - there are a lot of them - barely reach 1% combined. So Rousseff's opponents, combined, have 42% of all votes. If Rousseff advance some 4% whilst her opponents stagnate, she can be elected president with no need of a run-off.
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