Wednesday, April 11th 2012 - 06:35 UTC

A possible Chinese exit for the ongoing clashes between Repsol YPF and Argentina

China National Offshore Oil Corporation, CNOOC, could prove to be the solution for the ongoing clash between the Argentine government and Spain’s Repsol which holds a majority stake in YPG, Argentina’s main oil and gas company.

CEO Brufau is waiting for an interview with Lady Cristina

According to the Spanish financial media, the giant Chinese corporation is preparing a major offer to take-over Repsol stake in YPF in a sum close to 12 billion dollars. The Chinese move does come as a surprise since CNOOC main rival Sinopec has also advanced in the region and in October 2010 took over 40% of the Spanish affiliate in Brazil with an investment of 7 billion dollars.

Furthermore CNOOC already has interests in Argentina having purchased in March 2010, 50% of Bridas, an Argentine private oil and gas complex belonging to the Bulgheroni family. CNOOC paid 3.1 billion dollars for the 50% of Bridas which has interests besides Argentina, in Chile, Uruguay and Eastern Europe.

The operation is pending an audit from a Repsol subsidiary and the final approval from the Argentine government that can still veto the deal.

According to different Spanish media sources Repsol which has as shareholders La Caixa, PEMEX and Sacyr Vallehermoso apparently have signed a non-binding agreement with China’s CNOOC for the purchase of YPF conditioned to a due diligence of the company’s assets and accounts.

Although Repsol has denied the negotiations, the company’s CEO Antonio Brufau has been holding meetings with representatives from the conglomerate. It should not come as a surprise because a few weeks ago the Madrid press said that Repsol was in contact with CNOOC, CNPC, Lukoil and Exxon to try and untangle the situation in Argentina.

Meantime Brufau who arrived in Buenos Aires on Monday is waiting to hold an interview with President Cristina Fernandez and some of her closest and most trusted aides, as he has requested.

However it is believed the Argentine strategy is for Brufau to participate on Thursday in the meeting of governors from the Hydrocarbons Producing Provinces, (OFEPHI) which brings together all the provinces with oil and gas deposits in production and who have been suspending YPF exploitation concessions: 15 areas in the provinces of Chubut, Santa Cruz, Neuquen, Rio Negro, Mendoza and Salta, which already represent over 12% of the company’s oil and gas extraction.

Likewise since the conflict with the Argentine government took off when President Cristina Fernandez said she would no longer tolerate a fuels import bill of 11 billion dollars and wanted to ensure the country’s self sufficiency, the value of the company in the Buenos Aires stock exchange plunged 27% and 34% in New York.

To make things worse the extreme south province of Santa Cruz announced on Tuesday in its portal that next Thursday it will definitively suspend YPF production concessions in three fields.

Governor Daniel Peralta and the head of the provincial Energy Institute, Juan Antonio Ferreiro said that even when the official reply from YPF for greater investments has yet to come, “we doubt YPF can present an investment road map that could overcome a situation (allegedly lack of sufficient investments) that has been ongoing for six years”

11 comments Feed

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1 Welsh Wizard (#) Apr 11th, 2012 - 09:08 am Report abuse
This is very interesting but good for whom exactly? If a china state corporation takeover the YPF stake them the Argentinean government will have a very different prospect trying to bully them, especially as China can pretty much dictate terms to the government as it depends on china to buy soya and also to help prop up the currency. If I was them, I wouldn't want to be dealing with CNOOC, better to just nationalise...
2 GeoffWard2 (#) Apr 11th, 2012 - 09:44 am Report abuse
The early steps to a full financial and resources take over of Argentina's assets by the Chinese.
They will because they can ... and they need to.

You've seen those little Chinese shadow-puppets ......

It's my belief that these will come a day - reasonably soon - when all Argentinian politicians and business leaders will be worked from below with the Chinese puppet-sticks.
3 yankeeboy (#) Apr 11th, 2012 - 12:20 pm Report abuse
2 things China needs for survival, oil & food. They've done the same in Africa why not Argentina? Argentina can't bully them though so there must be some big payoffs at first before they can welcome their new overlords.
75 years of whining they don't want to be owned by the USA now they'll be owned by China. China has no respect for human rights, no respect for the law, they'll devour everything like locusts and leave the RGs with nothing. RGs are too stupid and corrupt to know this is not going to end well.
4 ElaineB (#) Apr 11th, 2012 - 01:51 pm Report abuse
Who was it that predicted this? I suggested maybe Venezuela would take over but someone else said it would be China. Sorry I can't remember who said it but all credit to you.

The problem is that the Argentine government cannot see long-term on anything. It focuses on the next bribe and how much can be channelled into Swiss bank accounts. The general public are busy surviving the high inflation and the young are being brainwashed into believing Argentina is a great nation. (Imagine when they realise Argenina is just a province of China?) The future of the country is not a priority for anyone; they live in the moment.
5 yankeeboy (#) Apr 11th, 2012 - 03:11 pm Report abuse
4. If you ask Think all of my predictions and general informational posts are imaginary and have no relation to what is really going on in The People's Republic of Argentina.
6 ElaineB (#) Apr 11th, 2012 - 04:55 pm Report abuse
@5 Ahhhhh, it was you. Sorry about forgetting that but I did remember what you said. Good call, again.
7 Think (#) Apr 11th, 2012 - 06:18 pm Report abuse
Chuckle chuckle®

This “little MercoPress story” about the Chinese and YPF is just for the Turnips.
And an effective one!
I can see that it has attracted some of the Mayor…………………..….Turnips.

Let’s say, without disclosing too much, that YPF is in its way to become a National Oil Company, controlled by national, provincial and private capital to be develop following the the Petrobras / Statoil model….

And it will happen rather quickly…………
8 PGH (#) Apr 11th, 2012 - 09:35 pm Report abuse
My Gosh, this is infested with British Trolls! What's wrong with these people? Don't you have better things to do?
(If you're currently unemployed, I apologize)
9 GeoffWard2 (#) Apr 12th, 2012 - 08:03 am Report abuse
Sr Think #7,

how do you think YPF will become state-owned?
- Just appropriated?
- With immediate compensation to Repsol?
- In pesos or $?
- Using an Argentinian front company but with Chinese money and infrastructures?

- And what might be the knock-on effect for foreign non-oil companies operating in the country?
Dismantle and transfer their factories to eg Brasil?

Chinese 'state/private' companies could easily operate all Argentina's companies with a nominal Argentinian as 'Chairman' and Argentinan 'shadow-workers' working 1-for-1 alongside the real workers - the Chinese.
The Chinese did this to Malaysia once they had embedded themselves in Malaysian society, so why not in Argentina?
10 Think (#) Apr 12th, 2012 - 06:47 pm Report abuse
You really dislike Chinkies.................... Do you?
11 GeoffWard2 (#) Apr 13th, 2012 - 06:11 pm Report abuse
No, Think, now have a go at answering the question(s) in #9; #7 refers.

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