Monday, May 14th 2012 - 05:34 UTC

EC brighter outlook for 2013: UK expands 1.7% and Euro zone 1.3%

The slow economic recovery is in sight across Europe, the European Commission said on Saturday, with the UK in line for 1.7% growth next year compared with an EU average of 1.3%.

Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn: economic situation remains fragile

The EC spring economic forecast described UK growth as “likely to remain subdued this year but with a brighter outlook”.

The document, analysing the economic data for all 27 member states, said of the UK: “The overall outlook for 2012 remains uncertain but, with an anticipation of stronger real wages improving household consumption growth towards the end of the year and more stability in the UK’s export markets, GDP growth is expected to remain positive at 0.5% in 2012 with a further improvement in 2013 to 1.7% as investment rises”.

That compares with an estimate of a 1% average rise next year in the 17 Euro zone countries and a 1.3% average growth rate across all 27 EU member states. According to the figures, GDP will be stagnant this year in the EU as a whole, falling by 0.3% in the Euro zone, and rising by 0.5% in the UK.

Unemployment is expected to remain high this year in the EU, at an average 10.3%, and 11% in the Euro zone, compared with 8.5% in the UK and 24.4% in Spain, whose economic woes are now giving biggest cause for concern.

Little is expected to change in 2013, with a marginal fall in UK employment to 8.4%, and an increase in Spain to 25.1%.

Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn told a press conference in Brussels: “A recovery in sight, but the economic situation remains fragile, with still large disparities across member states.

“We are witnessing an ongoing adjustment of the fiscal and structural imbalances built up before and after the onset of the crisis, made worse by the still weak economic sentiment. “Without further determined action, however, low growth in the EU could remain”.

Mr Rehn added: “sound public finances are the condition for lasting growth and building on the new strong framework for economic governance, we must support the adjustment by accelerating stability and growth-enhancing policies”.
 

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1 DanyBerger (#) May 14th, 2012 - 08:03 am Report abuse
Last years was said that UK will grow 2.7% in 2012 and what happened?

I just wonder over what basis these people make the forecasts, Guessing perhaps?
2 LEPRecon (#) May 14th, 2012 - 10:21 am Report abuse
@1 - Guessing your probably right. But at least their guesses are based on facts, and probability projections.

Your government just makes up it's figures that are in no way based in fact or on probability factors, they're just based on wishful thinking. Then your government threatens to imprision anyone who tries to disagree with them on their fairy tale inflation rates and debt estimates.

30% inflation, Dany, no wonder you and your compatriots are always so angry.
3 Britworker (#) May 14th, 2012 - 01:43 pm Report abuse
Yes i think these figures will go right out the window when Greece leaves the Euro and defaults on its loans. They owe the UK 14b but apparantly they owe France over 60b. I expect that will send the forecasts out!
4 Conqueror (#) May 14th, 2012 - 01:54 pm Report abuse
@1 You need to ask yourself some questions. First, were they reckoning on January to December? Or April to April? Next, if the months have numbers, isn't May number 5? Elementary question on arithmetic. 12 - 5 = ?

But then, these questions are probably beyond you. Please notice that I said “the questions”. You wouldn't stand a chance with the answers!
5 Malvinero1 (#) May 14th, 2012 - 04:27 pm Report abuse
our government just makes up it's figures that are in no way based in fact or on probability factors, they're just based on wishful thinking. Then your government threatens to imprision anyone who tries to disagree with them on their fairy tale inflation rates and debt estimates
Still Argentina looks and feel better than uk...
6 stick up your junta (#) May 14th, 2012 - 04:49 pm Report abuse
Still Argentina looks and feel better than uk

Get yourselves a second opinion :-)))))
7 briton (#) May 14th, 2012 - 05:01 pm Report abuse
Still Argentina looks and feel better than uk...
but still only skin deep.

up the british,
greece for the rest lol.
8 Brit Bob (#) May 14th, 2012 - 06:36 pm Report abuse
@1 & 5 Taken from the Economist April 19th

'The World should stop indulging Ms CFK. Argentina remains in default on its debt to the Paris Club of Sovereign Creditors, and has not paid the sums that the World Bank's International Centre For The Settlement of Investment Dispute has determined it owes foreign companies. Last month the US suspended duty free access for some Argentine exports. Yet the country still belongs to the G20 and can borrow from organisations, and its citizens can visit all of Europe without a visa. That amounts to a free pass in foreign policy. If the West revokes these privileges, Argentina might see the true cost of their president's antics.'

Perhaps Argentina is on borrowed time...
9 toooldtodieyoung (#) May 14th, 2012 - 07:32 pm Report abuse
Oh for gods sake!!! “the UK in line for 1.7% growth next year” That is not growth!!!! Wake up!!! 1.7%??? That is a mild swelling!!! You wait, oh how the Libcon's will be blowing their own trumpets and announcing British economic recovery while conviently forgetting :-

a/ that it was policies that put the economy in the toilet in the first place

and

b/ their cut backs that slowed the recovery.

Oh I can't wait for the depressing round of triumphant crowing from their benches while Pretty boy cameron and his little b*tch try congratulate each other. I'm sorry guys but the smartest politican? That's like being King Turd of sh*t mountian.

Anyway this is only a forecast right? Still plenty of time for the forecast to be, what do they call it? “Down-sized” or “Scaled-back” or what ever it is.

It is pitiful
10 briton (#) May 14th, 2012 - 09:58 pm Report abuse
Apparently
It’s all in the hands of the Greek gods, now,
And the German money lenders,

And ?
.

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