Thursday, January 3rd 2013 - 00:20 UTC

Poor performance of Brazilian economy last year: estimates average 0.98% growth

Economists cut their estimates for economic growth in Brazil to 0.98% this year, a central bank survey showed, highlighting the sharp slowdown of an economy that just a couple of years ago was an emerging market star.

Despite the dozens of tax breaks and subsidized loans implemented by the administration of President Dilma Rousseff

The world's number 6 economy was expected to grow 1.0% this year in a poll released last week, a far cry from the 3.30% expansion predicted by economists surveyed by the central bank at the start of the year.

Still, economists see the Brazilian economy rebounding to grow 3.30% in 2013 after an avalanche of stimulus measures by the government of President Dilma Rousseff that includes dozens of tax breaks and subsidized loans.

Some private economists have warned that the economy could grow much less than what the market predicts due to still weak investment and a slowdown in credit growth in Brazil.

Economists raised their expectations for inflation in 2012 for the fourth straight week despite the slowdown in activity. Inflation was seen ending the year at 5.71%, inching closer to the ceiling of the official target range of between 2.5% and 6.5%. Inflation rose to 6.5% in 2011.

Inflation will likely remain high next year with economists seeing consumer prices rising 5.47% in 2013, according to the poll of around 100 economists.


8 comments Feed

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1 Anglotino (#) Jan 03rd, 2013 - 12:59 am Report abuse
It would seem that hubris has caught up with all the BRICS.
2 The Chilean perspective (#) Jan 03rd, 2013 - 04:28 am Report abuse
Closed economies cannot keep up a sustainable growth level for long, they ALWAYS come crushing down under their own weight.
3 Anglotino (#) Jan 03rd, 2013 - 06:19 am Report abuse
Agreed! I always think of a juggler when seeing a closed or heavily regimented economy. When the juggler is juggling 3 balls it looks amazing and skilful. You stand in awe as he then adds a knife and bowling skittle.

The skill it takes to balance and control these objects! However throw in a football, kitchen sink and small puppy and things start dropping.

First it's one or two balls. No big deal, the other objects are so impressive. But the arms get tired and eventually everything comes crashing down. Hopefully the puppy lands on the kitchen sink and not under it.
4 Hepatia (#) Jan 03rd, 2013 - 09:52 am Report abuse It depends what you mean by “long”. There is no doubt that a county can be a “closed economy” (i.e. high tariff) for long enough to be transformed from an economic backwater to the most advanced economic power in the world. This is the history of the US from 1865 to 1913. It is also the present experience of the PRC.

So, when you say “they ALWAYS come crushing down” that's not true, is it.
5 LightThink (#) Jan 03rd, 2013 - 06:53 pm Report abuse
at least Brazil is more richer country than USA

..has much more skyscrapers than USA
..has newer cars in the streets than USA
..has lower living costs than USA
..has more beautiful people than USA.
6 Anglotino (#) Jan 03rd, 2013 - 10:05 pm Report abuse
Ummm yeah.... still trying to find reference to the USA in the article.
7 ProRG_American (#) Jan 03rd, 2013 - 11:05 pm Report abuse
So there goes someones pipedream of a Brazilian superpower in “BRIC”. It will soon be replaced by Argentina of course to become ARIC. As it should be.
8 Anglotino (#) Jan 04th, 2013 - 01:05 am Report abuse
Haha, yes Argentina definitely belongs with Brazil, Russia, India China and South Africa.

A developing country with economic problems.

Can't believe you think so lowly of the Argentinean economy!

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