Friday, November 1st 2013 - 08:48 UTC

Experts dismiss forecasts of soaring wine prices: worldwide production on the rise

In a much-publicized report released Wednesday, US bank Morgan Stanley said that a worldwide fall in production and growing thirst for wine among Chinese and Americans would send prices rocketing. However industry experts say worldwide production actually rose this year.

“World wine production has increased significantly in 2013 and consumption is stabilizing” says latest OIV report

The bank's report said that demand far outstripped supply last year and predicted things would get worse as demand for exported wine would grow over the medium term.

But on Thursday, Pierre Genest, assistant director general of the Federation of French Wine and Spirits Exporters, said predicting a shortage was too strong.

“If you look at 2013, the level of production is higher than consumption,” he said -- a marked turnaround from the previous six years.

“It's obvious that we're in a situation where the size of European vineyards is diminishing, but the size of vineyards in the rest of the world is increasing.

”And if the surfaces shrink, one would think that technological developments would allow for an increase in yields, which would make up for it.”

The International Organization of Vine and Wine (OIV), which deals with technical and scientific aspects of winemaking, corroborated Genest's comments and pointed to a report published earlier this week.

In the OIV report, the organization says that “world wine production has increased significantly in 2013 and consumption is stabilizing.”

It says wine production has returned to strong 2006 levels “despite the persistent decline... of the global vineyard surface area, particularly in Italy and Spain.”

The report points to increases in production in Italy, France and Portugal, and record production in Romania, Chile and New Zealand.

The organization acknowledges that overall, between 2006 and 2013; some 300,000 hectares of vines -- an area larger than Luxembourg -- were lost worldwide.

But “the 2013 harvest has been fairly significant thanks to a productivity which continues to increase despite the abrupt stop caused by adverse climate conditions in 2012”, said Federico Castellucci, OIV chief.

4 comments Feed

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1 yankeeboy (#) Nov 01st, 2013 - 12:11 pm Report abuse
As the world Wine business grows and gets more profitable companies are closing their vineyards/wineries in Argentina.
Heterodoxy policies at work or not at work as the case may be.
2 The Truth PaTroll (#) Nov 01st, 2013 - 07:56 pm Report abuse

Talking out of your ass again? Which one of them?

You are such a ridiculous, risible court jester.

There has never been more wineries and profits in Mendoza from the wine industry. And we have first dibs on China and Brazil and Russia.
3 GeoffWard2 (#) Nov 02nd, 2013 - 04:53 pm Report abuse
I myself have put down over a hundred litres of 'Chateau Ward' this year, half of this being grape wine.
As availability pushes prices, perhaps DIY will be the coming trend.
4 Clyde15 (#) Nov 03rd, 2013 - 05:42 pm Report abuse
Talking out of your ass again? Which one of them

You tell us that you want Argentina to have nothing to do with the rest of the world.
Now you say that you want to sell wine to China and Brazil and Russia.
What course of action do you advocate ? Trade or isolationism ?

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