Thursday, December 6th 2012 - 07:57 UTC

Brazil anticipates Mercosur summit will confirm Paraguay’s suspension stands

Paraguay must continue suspended from Mercosur following the group’s presidential summit on Friday, anticipated the head of the Latin American desk from the Brazilian Foreign ministry, Antonio Jose Ferreira Simoes.

The Brazilian diplomat and oracle Ferreira Simoes

“Conditions have not been altered”, said Simoes regarding the current situation of Paraguay which has been suspended from the block since June 22 when following the impeachment by the Senate Fernando Lugo was removed from office and replaced by Vice president Federico Franco.

The suspension of Paraguay is one of the several points of the agenda the presidents are expected to address on Friday in Brasilia following on Thursday’s meeting of the block’s Foreign Affairs and Economy ministers and Central bank governors.

Simoes recalled that the other regional grouping Unasur in its last summit last week in Lima, Peru decided to continue with the suspension of Paraguay. Mercosur is currently made up of Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Venezuela and suspended Paraguay.

Originally when the suspension was announced both by Mercosur and Unasur it was understood to last until the coming presidential election scheduled for 21 April 2013. The argument for the sanction was that the removal of Lugo was a “rupture of the democratic process” contrary to the charters of both regional groups.

However at the Unasur summit Brazilian and Argentine diplomats revealed not only that the suspension stands but extends until August 2013 when, whoever is elected in April in transparent, fair elections for all candidates effectively takes office.

Brazilian Foreign minister Antonio Patriota said implicitly that the April election was ‘a step’ to the recovery of the full rule of democracy.

The announcement was particularly annoying for the Paraguayans since they were expecting some kind of lenient message given that the Unasur High Level special envoy and former Peruvian Prime Minister Salomon Lerner, after spending several days in the country had finalized a ‘positive’ report on the political and electoral situation.

The report which included praise for Paraguay’s Electoral Justice Tribunal was to be presented to Unasur leaders at the summit in Lima.

But a couple of days before, the Brazilian Executive advisor on international affairs Marcos Aurelio Garcia anticipated that the suspension would stand because that had been the decision at the June summit. “Suspensions must be complied in time and form” insisted the Brazilian official.

Another issue to be addressed by the Mercosur summit will be the invitation extended to Bolivia and Ecuador to join the group.

Bolivia, currently an associate member, said president Evo Morales will express the country’s willingness but also anticipated they want to remain a member of the Community of Andean Nations, CAN.

Argentina most certainly will bring up the issue of support for her struggle with the hedge funds (‘vulture funds’) and dealings in the New York court, and in Hamburg at the Law of the Sea tribunal challenging Ghana over the retained Navy vessel ARA Libertad.

The Cristina Fernandez administration can also be expected to lobby for support in yet the latest litigation: dispute with Repsol over the majority nationalization of the country’s oil and gas corporation YPF.

A clause backing Argentina’s sovereignty claims over the Falkland Islands and its natural resources can also be expected.

However the issue has now increased in significance since direct bullying and threats by ‘radical’ groups and friendly unions have forced several cruise vessels to desist by writing, from calling at the “Malvinas Islands”, as part of the Cristina Fernandez government policy to strangle the Falkland Islands economy and isolate them from the South American continent.

At the final ceremony Brazil will hand over to Uruguay the Mercosur chair for the next six months. The ceremony should have been played by Brazil and Paraguay, but since the latter is suspended the alphabetical order was skipped.
 

12 comments Feed

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1 reality check (#) Dec 06th, 2012 - 08:34 am Report abuse
Seems to be a classic case of “moving the goal posts!”

One has to wonder, what will happen before August 13 arrives?
2 cornelius (#) Dec 06th, 2012 - 10:57 am Report abuse
Who wants to be among communist failed states and morons?
3 Britworker (#) Dec 06th, 2012 - 12:40 pm Report abuse
You can't help but think they need this time to do more things they can't do when Paraguay is back in the fold, maybe vote in another despot?
4 Shed-time (#) Dec 06th, 2012 - 01:30 pm Report abuse
@3 North Korea?
5 Idlehands (#) Dec 06th, 2012 - 01:44 pm Report abuse
I think Mickey Mouse wants to become a member too.
6 GeoffWard2 (#) Dec 06th, 2012 - 01:56 pm Report abuse
Brit #3
the Mercosur leaders want PA out of the chamber until Ecuador and Bolivia join Venezuela as the new 'Bolivarian' hub of the Continent, controlling the politics of Mercosur, and the distribution of any world-trading profits, in particular.

What I fail to grasp is why Dilma Rousseff is unable to grasp that her Brasil will become the milschcow of these derelict states.
If Dilma does grasp this implication, she is playing a very opaque game of protecting her own corner.
Perhaps she is STILL a true 'internationalist' and is thinking in terms bigger than just her sub-continental country. But she could not achieve such ends by watering down the development of the Continent's countries towards a Lowest Common Denominator.
Hers is the ONLY South American country that could act as a magnet for REAL, world-scale, cutting-edge, technological development - a focus where big benefits can ripple outwards across the Continent - without being truely screwed-over, or 'owned', by the US and China.

Mercosur could have given Dilma's Brasil the multi-national clout to play on the big-boy's pitch.
But hobbling Brasil's 'striker' by binding the chains of EC, BO and VE, to her legs is a great way of losing every game and getting relegated back to the lowest divisions.
7 Sergio Vega (#) Dec 06th, 2012 - 02:56 pm Report abuse
Unfortunately, Mercosur has been changed from an economic group to a political gang, so Paraguay is not wanted because it´s braking more leftist Gvt. entrance.
And Unasur has been changed from a political group to a mob gang threatening those members that thinks different......Democracy...???
By the contrary, OAS hasn´t taken any measures against Paraguay because what they did is absolutely constitutional.......and democratic.
8 Conqueror (#) Dec 06th, 2012 - 03:23 pm Report abuse
@7 Despite the past, why doesn't Chile hold out a hand to Paraguay? Despite the words of the Chilean government, wouldn't it be beneficial for Chile to bring another member into the Pacific Alliance? Wouldn't Paraguay's oil be attractive?
9 GeoffWard2 (#) Dec 06th, 2012 - 05:07 pm Report abuse
So Paraguay are being kept out of the club
... until it becomes
more 'Constitutional'? ...
more Democratic?

Is there not a smigeon of embarassment that the other countries are asking for massively more than they, themselves deliver?

This is using the ideals of 'democracy' to act so absolutely undemocratically.

I guess this is why the presidents and 'democratic' dictators of Mercosur and Unasur devolved management of this travesty of justice to their Foreign ministers.
It allows them to say “Well, it wasn't me!”
10 Shed-time (#) Dec 06th, 2012 - 11:27 pm Report abuse
@9 These sorts of countries are full of uneducated folk who look to their leaders to tell them a story about what they're going to deliver them. In china, it's some vision of a socialist utopia, and they get an authoritarian autocracy and massive levels of corruption. In Argentina, Venezuela etc they sell them the vision of a socialist utopia, and they again get an authoritarian autocracy and massive levels of corruption... repeat ad nauseum.

The political beliefs of the leadership rarely have any alignment with the story they are selling, and terms like 'democracy' are inconsequential. Paraguay should have known this.
11 Pugol-H (#) Dec 07th, 2012 - 07:22 pm Report abuse
The list of things Argentina needs support on from its neighbours, grows ever longer, how long before its struggles at the WTO gets added to the list.

We shall see which S American countries are prepared to support Argentina’s blockade, and campaign of economic and environmental warfare against the Islanders.

Foreign Office take note, and choose our friends and enemies in the region accordingly.
12 cornelius (#) Dec 07th, 2012 - 11:57 pm Report abuse
They will not yield to Bolivarian dictator and Argentina has no shame along with Uruguay and Brazil.
When Ecuador and Bolivia joint the Mercosur how will Brazil control the votes along with Venezuela they will lose control of the Mercosur Dilma along with Patriota they are very ideologist and idiots I can believe the Brazilian foreign policy will lose control of latam ha, ha ,ha.

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