Thursday, January 3rd 2013 - 21:34 UTC

German Bolivarian ideologue anticipates ‘dual succession’ in Venezuela

German sociologist Heinz Dietrich considered one of the ideologues of “XXI century Socialism” which was adopted by the Bolivarian movement, said in an interview with the Brazilian newspaper O Estado de Sao Paulo that Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez is not returning to office

A more flexible and pragmatic Nicolas Maduro will cohabit with hard liner Diosdado Cabello (L)

“We can certainly say, and this is the crucial information, that Chavez will not make it back to the presidency in Venezuela” according to Dietrich who nevertheless does not anticipate instability since the majority of the population want order and peace. “Even the main leaders of the opposition, basically Henrique Capriles (who lost to Chavez in the October presidential election) have understood this”.

Dietrich who currently lives in Mexico and was one of the intellectuals who most supported the Chavez government and policies but later split from the movement, anticipated that Diosdado Cabello a retired Army officer and president of the National Assembly is a ‘dangerous character’.

“Cabello lost the battle for the succession with (Vice-president) Nicolás Maduro but continues to have strong support, and the most probable scenario is that Cabello and Maduro continue for some time with a tactic alliance”, Dietrich anticipated to the Sao Paulo daily.

Dietrich argues that because of the delicate health situation of the Venezuelan leader a time of “Chavism without Chavez” is coming which means “a government under the helm of Maduro and as Maduro consolidates and Chavez weakens, he could begin implementing changes to the model”.

And in case there are fresh elections “the opposition can’t win because it is divided and has no convincing government project, and needs urgently to move to centre positions; Capriles started this process but still needs several years to win credibility”, added the German intellectual.


6 comments Feed

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1 Anglotino (#) Jan 03rd, 2013 - 10:13 pm Report abuse
Aaah so already the opposition can't win an election that isn't even called yet!

More interesting yet:
“a government under the helm of Maduro and as Maduro consolidates and Chavez weakens, he could begin implementing changes to the model”.

Actually Cabello assumes power pending new elections should the President be unable to take office due to permanent incapaciation.

You watch the linguistic and legal gymnastics as Maduro tries to keep Chavez from being premanently incapacitated so that he can continue on for 180 days.

However Chavez's death will instantly push Maduro aside..... is he dead yet?
2 Vuggevise (#) Jan 04th, 2013 - 04:13 pm Report abuse
Amazing to think that after all these years, Chavez is about to perform his one benevolent and humanitarian act: dying a miserable and lonely tortured death.
3 ProRG_American (#) Jan 04th, 2013 - 10:18 pm
Comment removed by the editor.
4 ChrisR (#) Jan 05th, 2013 - 07:58 pm Report abuse

And in as much pain as possible if there is any justice in the world.
5 British_Kirchnerist (#) Jan 08th, 2013 - 12:30 am Report abuse
Don't see how they can really call this person a leading Bolivarian ideologue if he has fallen out with the movement. While I wouldn't say Caballo was “dangerous” I do think it is positive that Maduro has emerged as the successor as he seems both more left and more pragmatic. Hopefully no successor will be needed for a while though, and comments like #2 nd #4 are just sick...
6 ChrisR (#) Jan 08th, 2013 - 05:36 pm Report abuse
@5 B_S_K

No, you are mistaken: it's Dead Man Not Walking who is sick AND likely to croak any minute now.

But you knew that really, didn't you?

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