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Montevideo, October 22nd 2018 - 23:07 UTC

Argentina's debt expected to peak at 65% of GDP by end of 2018

Monday, July 16th 2018 - 08:44 UTC
Full article 9 comments
A run on the Peso earlier this year and concerns about the government’s ability to fight inflation prompted Argentina to request a stand-by arrangement from IMF A run on the Peso earlier this year and concerns about the government’s ability to fight inflation prompted Argentina to request a stand-by arrangement from IMF

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects Argentina’s government debt to peak by the end of 2018 and then fall as the country cuts its deficit as part of its US$50 billion deal with the Fund, according to a document published.

Debt is forecast to peak at 65% of GDP before falling to 56% by 2021, the last year of its program, IMF staff wrote in a document prepared before the Fund’s board approved the deal. The report had not previously been released.

A run on the peso currency earlier this year amid a worldwide investor retreat from emerging markets and concerns about the Argentine government’s ability to fight inflation prompted Argentina to request a stand-by arrangement from the IMF in May.

The IMF report also lays out policies it said the government could take to reduce the deficit. Some of those were not included in Argentina’s letter of intent last month, where it outlined the steps it would take to reduce the deficit.

The IMF policies that were not in the letter include keeping soy product export taxes at an average of 25.5%, and delaying implementation of parts of last year’s tax overhaul.

In a statement released with the report, IMF mission chief for Argentina Roberto Cardarelli said the country’s economy would shrink in the second and third quarters. The report forecasts growth of 1.5% in 2019 and “around 3%” in 2020.

Categories: Economy, Argentina.

Top Comments

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  • Zaphod Beeblebrox

    Reekio,

    “Macri has de-financed the country by ... keeping an overvalued peso ...”

    Overvalued? So why were you so upset about the peso's recent devaluation? Do you now think it was a good thing?

    Jul 17th, 2018 - 05:24 pm +1
  • Zaphod Beeblebrox

    EM,

    “I'm not surprised you are confused.”

    I am confused because you are contradicting yourself. You railed against Macri because of the peso devaluation and now you are criticising him for “keeping an overvalued peso”. Do you see the inconsistency?

    “The thing is, no matter what the Macri government does, the effects are deleterious to the Argentina economy.”

    So, in Reekieland, anything Macri does = bad. Therefore the devaluation of the peso was bad even though it remains overvalued (also bad).

    It takes a special sort of brain to be able to reconcile two mutually exclusive arguments as being consistent with each other. Are you a creationist too?

    Jul 18th, 2018 - 06:00 pm +1
  • chronic

    The imf is no one's friend.

    Jul 16th, 2018 - 08:57 pm 0
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