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Montevideo, January 22nd 2019 - 00:23 UTC

Macri and Cristina Fernandez polarize political scenario, but a moderate opposition figure is emerging

Thursday, January 10th 2019 - 09:12 UTC
Full article 7 comments
President Macri Mauricio and Prov. of Buenos Aires Gov. Maria Eugenia Vidal President Macri Mauricio and Prov. of Buenos Aires Gov. Maria Eugenia Vidal
Senator Cristina Fernandez , Ex minister Roberto Lavagna Senator Cristina Fernandez , Ex minister Roberto Lavagna

With some eight months to the Argentine primaries when presidential hopefuls for the October election to reelect or oust Mauricio Macri will be chosen, pollster Opinaia, shows that most pre-candidates have a greater negative than positive image. This is possible because of the disenchantment of Argentines with their political system and economic situation.

The study has chosen 13 potential pre-candidates, and the opinion poll included 2.500 interviews in all of Argentina, between 11 December and January first. Although Opinaia works mainly for the business sector, it has done political surveys for its clients, and its forecasts in the 2015 and 2017 elections proved to be very much to the point.

In effect of the 13 names, which could integrate the presidential ticket, only two had a positive margin, they are ex Economy minister Roberto Lavagna and the current governor of Buenos Aires province, Maria Eugenia Vidal.

Lavagna, who could be a converging candidate for the divided Peronist opposition, and attractive enough to drain votes from the current coalition electorate, has a 9% very positive image, 30% positive, against a 23%s lighly negative, and 13% decisively negative. However Lavagna has a strong back draw since he left effective office over a decade ago and his public figure and/or name is known to only 24% of interviewees.

If this condition is left aside, and only taking into account those who replied about his image, the net result is 52% positive and 48% negative.

Lavagna should be recalled was instrumental in helping put Argentina's back on its feet following the 2001/02 meltdown of the economy, until then president Nestor Kirchner forced him to leave in 2005, after the minister questioned the awarding of public works' contracts.

The other positive figure is governor Vidal, with a net image of two points, 51% positive and 49% negative. But she is well known and 92% replied they are aware of her name and job. Her image figures with a 23% most positive rating, 25% positive, and 18% negative and 27% most negative.

On the image negative net side the most outstanding pre candidates are current president Macri and his predecessor, and indicted in several corruption cases, Senator Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner. However there are some several middle of road hopefuls, a few of which had previous presidential ambitions.

They are current lawmakers Margarita Stolbizer with a net negative of 10 points as a consequence of a 45%/55% balance. Elisa Carrió, with a 44%/56% negative equation, and Sergio Massa, who disputed with Macri and Cristina Fernandez the 2015 election, his positive image is 34% and negative 66%.

Quite surprising but so are the results for Macri and Cristina Fernandez. According to the Opinaia poll, the president has a positive image of 40% but 60% negative, while Senator Cristina, 38% and 62%.

And what if elections were to take place this Sunday, Macri's reelection bid would attract 28%, and Cristina Fernandez, 26%, a technical no difference when you have a 2% plus/minus error margin. They are followed by Sergio Massa, 11%, the undecided 13% and 19% who would chose other candidate options.

Categories: Politics, Argentina.

Top Comments

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  • Chicureo

    I'm reminded of brown-haired Spanish speaking president whose last name was Castro.

    POEMA CUBANO

    Resiste todo apagón
    Ilumínate con vela,
    Cepilla con sal tus muelas
    Y come como un ratón,
    Trabaja como un cabrón
    Límpiate bien sin papel,
    Endulza el café con miel
    Monta en carretón de mulo,
    Aprieta bien ese culo
    Y grita: ¡VIVA FIDEL!

    Tómate el agua caliente,
    Al baño ve sin jabón,
    Toma el azuquín por ron
    Para despejar la mente,
    Friega bien sin detergente,
    Haz las cartas sin papel,
    Dibuja bien sin pincel,
    Haz comida sin carbón,
    Y para ser más cabrón,
    Repite: ¡VIVA FIDEL!

    There's lots more to the poem, but you already know it by heart.

    Jan 10th, 2019 - 04:07 pm +1
  • Chicureo

    Tr0lListic_Approach

    So, you're one of those hard line Russian Trump supporters that post silly outrageous things on the internet to fool dimwit leftists with fake vitriol?

    TDS*: It's a serious worldwide problem afflicting paranoid snowflakes like yourself...

    *Trump derangement syndrome

    Jan 10th, 2019 - 01:15 pm 0
  • Jonaz_BsAs

    Elect Jose Luis Espert for president and Argentina has got a future. The other stooges will only prolong the agony.

    Jan 13th, 2019 - 05:51 am 0
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