Hikes in fuel and heating oil prices pushed the Euro zone 12 months rate of inflation to an all-time high in January, but a sharper than expected drop in core inflation added weight to the view that it will fall back closer to the European Central Bank's 2% target ceiling later this year.
Prices in the 15 countries that share the Euro rose at the fastest pace on record in the 12 months to January 2008, rising 3.2% on the year but dropping 0.4% over the month, data from the European Union's official statistics agency Eurostat showed Friday. Prices of fuels for transport rose 15% on the year, while heating oil costs rose 31%, pushing the overall annual rate to 3.2%, up from 3.1% in December and its highest level since Eurostat records began in 1997, the data showed. In contrast, the rate of core inflation - which excludes prices for energy, food, alcohol and tobacco - dipped to 1.7% on the year, from 1.9% in December - well below the 2% rate economists had predicted, reflecting shops' discounts and a slowdown in consumer demand. On the month, the core inflation rate dropped 1.1% - its largest decline in two years and a much steeper drop than the 0.6% decline economists had forecast. While the annual rate of inflation remains well above the ECB target of "below, but close to" 2%, the dip in the core rate will provide some comfort to those who are asking for lower interest rates. Following on the latest data analysts believe the ECB will adopt a "wait and see" attitude toward monetary policy. The ECB hasn't changed its main rate since June last year and is widely expected to keep it on hold at 4% when it meets next week. Member countries which in January accumulated a more moderate prices advance include Holland, 1.8%; United Kingdom, 2.2%; Germany and Portugal, 2.9%, while on the other extreme, Latonia, 15.6%; Bulgaria, 11.7% and Estonia, 11.3%.
Top Comments
Disclaimer & comment rulesCommenting for this story is now closed.
If you have a Facebook account, become a fan and comment on our Facebook Page!