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Why Enrique Peña Nieto will win the Mexican presidential election

Saturday, June 30th 2012 - 04:06 UTC
Full article 7 comments

By Gwynne Dyer - There’s no point in talking about who’s going to win the Mexican presidential election on July 1. Enrique Peña Nieto is going to win it. What’s more interesting is why he’s going to win it. Read full article


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  • Forgetit87

    “why have PAN’s 12 years of economic success not entitled it to re-election too?”

    This must be some sort of joke. Mexico's growth rates have lagged far behind the rest of Latin America for the better part of PAN's rule. The reason its growth has picked up in the last 2 years or so is because it is still recovering from the 2008 crisis, when growth plunged. (That Mexico is still recovery is shown by the fact that unemployment rate is still greater than before 2008.) Yes, Mexico has many virtues -- both its education system and its economy are sophisticated to Latin American standards, and with all of the rise in drug crime in the last few years, violence is actually quite localized and Mexico is still far from being the region's most violent. But nothing of this speaks to the 'success' of the PAN. PAN's legacy so far has been to maintain sacrifice growth to inflation, and this is not a success.

    Jun 30th, 2012 - 04:45 am - Link - Report abuse 0
  • JoseAngeldeMonterrey

    The article is clearly biased. It does not give Peña Nieto any credits for his successful political career. There have been numerous polls indicating that more than 80% of mexicans support the war on drugs, the Pew Center has run a series of polls year after year showing consisten population support for the efforts against crime.

    The PRI has been winning back states where PRD and PAN have done mistakes and voters have decided to oust them, all politics is local, if Peña Nieto is going to win by a landslide, it is precisely because his party has been winning state by state, city after city.

    Jun 30th, 2012 - 07:54 am - Link - Report abuse 0
  • LightThink

    compress Josephina......................

    Jun 30th, 2012 - 09:08 am - Link - Report abuse 0
  • British_Kirchnerist

    Theres still a chance Lopez Obrador will win, he's already pushed Calderon's candidate into 3rd place and the polls always underestimate the support of those who base themselves on the poor

    Jun 30th, 2012 - 11:10 am - Link - Report abuse 0
  • Fido Dido

    “Mexico has a lower murder rate than Brazil or Colombia, and it is less than a third of Venezuela’s.”

    Another Joke for people who sees from here, the US, news from Mexico. Mexico's crime/murder rate is only “low” on paper from their government. Reality, private US think thanks, it's much higher and it's out of control. Mexico is a failed state.

    Jul 01st, 2012 - 04:03 am - Link - Report abuse 0
  • Guzz

    That is an outrageous lie, quite blatent as well :)
    There is no way on earth ANY South American nation (not even Colombia) has a higher murder rate than Mexico. At all.

    Jul 02nd, 2012 - 04:17 am - Link - Report abuse 0
  • JoseAngeldeMonterrey

    South American countries suffer from the violence, just as bad or even worse. They may want to deny it, they may build big walls around their favelas, but the fact remains that if you travel to Rio de Janeiro or to Sao Paulo, or Medellin you will have to be very careful or end up kidnapped or killed. Drug lords rule in many parts of Colombia, Venezuela or Brazil.

    Jul 02nd, 2012 - 09:49 am - Link - Report abuse 0

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