Argentine president Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner is heading for a landslide victory in the coming October elections according to public opinion polls released this week. CFK would collect 51.9% of the votes, forty percentage points ahead of the runner up, according to Management & Fit.
CFK’s victory is anticipated following her undisputed showing in the 14 August primary which was considered a test for the coming October 24 election.
Supported by the sustained robust performance of the Argentine economy and a battery of social plans, the Argentine president has promised to maintain and advance the government’s intervention in the economy during her second mandate.
The polls has as runner up Santa Fe Socialist governor Hermes Binner with 11.6% of vote intention which is one percentage point ahead of what he managed in the August primary.
Binner is considered an emerging figure that could become the cohesion factor for a fragmented opposition which has been unable to unite or agree on a basic program to confront Mrs Kirchner.
Behind Binner came Social democrat lawmaker Ricardo Alfonsin with 7.5% support and former caretaker president Eduardo Duhalde with 4.5%, well below their showings in the August primary.
Alfonsin, son of former president Raul Alfonsin (1983/1989) belongs to the main opposition Radical party of the ruling Peronist coalition and Duhalde to a dissident branch of the Peronist movement had garnered 12% of the vote each in August.
According to Argentine electoral legislation, to avoid a run-off, the winning candidate needs 45% of the valid ballots in the first round or 40% plus a ten percentage-points difference over the runner up.
The poll included 2.031 interviews, between September 2 and 6 with a plus/minus margin error of 3.1 percentage points.