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YPF dispute: Argentina runs the risk of becoming an ‘international pariah” warns Spain

Saturday, April 14th 2012 - 06:48 UTC
Full article 59 comments
“Breaking the rules comes with a cost”, said Foreign Minister Garcia-Margallo “Breaking the rules comes with a cost”, said Foreign Minister Garcia-Margallo

Spanish officials warned Argentina on Friday that the country risks becoming “an international pariah” if it follows through on its threats to take control of Spanish-owned energy company Repsol's majority stake in its YPF unit.

Escalating tensions, Spanish Foreign Minister Jose Manuel Garcia-Margallo summoned Argentine Ambassador Carlo Antonio Bettini to convey Spain's “concern” over possible nationalization of YPF, which represents 42% of Repsol's total reserves, estimated at 2.1 billion barrels of crude.

“Breaking the rules comes with a cost, and Argentina could turn itself into an international pariah,” said Iñigo Mendez de Vigo, Spain's Secretary of State for European Affairs, in an interview aired on the Onda Cero radio network.

Garcia-Margallo said after the hour-long meeting with Bettini that he hopes dialogue can resolve matters, but that any “attack” on Repsol would be considered “an assault on the Spanish government.”

“A disruption in negotiations between Spain and Europe wouldn’t only represent a rupture in economic terms, it would be a fracture on the amicable relations we have had for a long time,” Margallo told the press.

YPF is Argentina's biggest company, and Spain is Argentina's largest foreign investor, with the United States in second place.

Shares of Repsol YPF SA closed down 2.7% to Euros 17.47 in Madrid amid the escalating dispute and a widespread sell-off for Spain's benchmark Ibex index -- even though Repsol told Spanish security regulators that Argentina had yet to provide any official word of its plans for YPF.

Speculation about a possible re-nationalization of the formerly state-owned company had driven shares in YPF up sharply Thursday. Those shares fell Friday with the lack of an announcement.

Most YPF shares are traded in New York, where they dropped 5% in early trading, continuing a 35% slide since Argentine leaders began pressuring the company in January.

Governors of oil-producing Argentine provinces have withdrawn about 15 oil leases, representing 18% of YPF crude production, alleging the company failed to keep its promises to develop them. YPF countered that it had invested millions in those areas and plans to increase production, but Argentine officials have said that still falls short.

How Argentina may try to displace Repsol, which owns 57% of YPF, has been the subject of wide speculation since the government's pressure campaign began in February. Even with its share prices depressed, YPF is valued at 13.6 billion dollars, and buying half of that would deplete Argentina's treasury of funds it needs to maintain the populist subsidies that have kept the country's economy humming.

Expectations rose sharply this week when Jorge Sapag, governor of oil-producing Neuquen province, told reporters that ”what's coming is a mixed (public-private) company“ whose board would include representatives from Argentina's provinces.

A proposed law then circulated among Argentine lawmakers Thursday, declaring 50.01% of YPF shares ”a public good“ subject to government expropriation. The proposal wasn't formally submitted to Congress, nor was there any announcement from President Cristina Fernandez following her meeting with a governors group.

The Argentine president left on Friday afternoon to the Summit of the Americas in Colombia, leaving nearly everyone involved in suspense about Argentina's next move.

Spanish Vice President Soraya Saenz de Santamaria said Friday that Spain will respond forcefully if Argentina follows through with the nationalization. Asked for details, the vice president implicitly drew a sharp distinction between Spain's approach and Argentina's tactic of encouraging speculation.

”These measures aren't advertised, they're simply adopted,“ she said.

The European Union has taken Spain's side. Olivier Bailly, a spokesman for the EU executive, told reporters the commission hopes Argentina shows respect for ”international engagements on the treatment and the protection of international investments on its territory.“

”We stand side-by-side with Spain in this situation,“ he said, adding that the two countries must forge a solution that does not ”damage the working environment and economic relations between the European Union and Argentina”.
 

Top Comments

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  • GreekYoghurt

    More predictable bending over by Spain.

    Apr 14th, 2012 - 06:55 am 0
  • Brit Bob

    Argentina already is an international pariah.

    Apr 14th, 2012 - 10:16 am 0
  • Teaboy2

    Actually i can see this easily escalating. I mean come on Spain are not about to let their biggest oil company loose half of its oil reserves without a fight and the spanish vice presidents statement about responding forcefully is a very strong and worrying statement. I bet military action is still an option firmly on spains table!

    So i say we invite spain to send its naval fleet to the falklands and allow them to resupply with men, equipment and supplies via the acension islands as clearly argentina won't risk attacking the falklands whilst the dauntless is there. Well not unless their pilots have the kamikaze mentality which we will be more than willing to aid them in satisfying. ;))))

    Joking aside though, Argentina is playing a very dangerous game, they are clearly pissing of the wrong people and they will clearly be punished for it.

    Apr 14th, 2012 - 10:35 am 0
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