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Montevideo, October 4th 2022 - 03:21 UTC
Brazil trusts Paraguay will fully return to Mercosur before the end of the year, said Brazil's Executive foreign policy advisor Marco Aurelio Garcia in a Sunday edition interview with the influential Folha de Sao Paulo. Read full article
You mean it's been two month and STILL Paraguay has done what it was predicted it would do.
It will be interesting to see what atonements that Paraguay have managed to extract from CFK, Dilma, Pepe and Maduro.
These atonements will have be performed in public at the Caracas summit, so that the whole world can watch Mercosur squirm.
If no sufficient atonements have been agreed to, I expect Paraguay to conspicuously stay away.
Brasil is getting frantic as it, and the nations around it, march forward in reverse gear.
What did the original four expect Venezuela to bring to the table?
- was it oil?
- was it the strengthening of the politics of the Left?
If the latter, then they were culpable of agreeing to replace the economic with the political way before it actually happened ... and they deserve everything that is not going to happen for them.
And the flight of pigs is taking off as we speak!
They have as much chance of doing that as Paraguay has of turning up in Caracas.
I wonder why Brazil keeps coming out with these sort of statements. This paragraph was in an article on this site on 10th October 2013.
The new administration of President Cartes has said it wishes to return to Mercosur but is demanding respect for Paraguayan institutions, and compliance with rule of the law, international law and Mercosur charter. Likewise in 2012 the Paraguayan Senate voted against the incorporation of Venezuela and this must be reversed.
As I read this, and it may be open to interpretation, the incorporation of Venezuela MUST be reversed. Respect for Paraguayan institutions, and compliance with the rule of law is fairly simple. Quit trying to make Paraguay comply with your perceptions. If Paraguay's constitution says they can kick a president out for not doing the job properly, so be it. Do NOT interfere. Make a real effort and publicly apologise to Paraguay for the suspension. Ask how much it wants in compensation. No apologies behind closed doors. It was publicly suspended. That wasn't done behind closed doors. International law would probably apply to Maduro trying to persuade members of the Paraguayan armed forces to revolt against the legitimate government. And the mercosur charter requires decisions about the incorporation of new members to be by unanimous vote of the full members. There's nothing ambivalent about it. Nothing about a unanimous vote by all the members who haven't been suspended. So Venezuela has to go. All mercosur has to do is comply with Paraguay's conditions. And admit that what it did was wrong. Perhaps it might have to include provisions so that no other member ever gets treated so shabbily.
Brazil/the rest of murcosur, do seem to expect some or other formula/fudge can happen and then it’s business as usual + Venezuela.
Problem is Paraguay show no signs of playing ball.
With the patience of the EU clearly running out in the FTA negotiations with murcosur, it’s hard to see how Brazil can square the circle, without some kind of breakaway.
@5 OMG, the EU is runing out of patience.
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