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US jobs figure validate expectations that Fed stimulus will continue until 2014

Tuesday, October 22nd 2013 - 23:56 UTC
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Nonfarm payrolls increased 148,000 last month, the Labor Department said on Tuesday Nonfarm payrolls increased 148,000 last month, the Labor Department said on Tuesday

US stocks climbed on Tuesday pushing the S&P 500 to a new intraday record, after weaker-than-expected job creation last month validated expectations the Federal Reserve will maintain its economic stimulus into next year.

The Dow Jones industrial average was up 49.96 points, or 0.32%, at 15,442.16. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was up 7.34 points, 0.42%, at 1,752.00. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 2.02 points, or 0.05%, at 3,922.07.

Mixed results on a big day for corporate earnings halted European equity markets near five-year highs today, as investors awaited delayed US jobs data. Concerns are mounting over earnings which have so far failed to keep up with recent rerating of equity indexes.

US employers added far fewer than expected workers in September, suggesting a loss of momentum in the economy that supported the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain its monthly bond purchases.

Nonfarm payrolls increased 148,000 last month, the Labor Department said on Tuesday. While the job count for August was revised to show more positions created than previously reported, employment gains in July were the weakest since June 2012.

But there was some silver lining in the report, with the unemployment rate dropping a tenth of a percentage point to 7.2%, the lowest level since November 2008. The jobless rate is derived from a separate survey of households, which showed an increase in employment last month.

The closely watched monthly employment report was released more than two weeks later than originally scheduled because of the partial shutdown of the federal government earlier this month. Signs the economy lost steam even before the budget fight could rattle financial markets.

Economists estimate the 16-day government shutdown shaved as much as 0.6 percentage point off annualized fourth-quarter GDP, through reduced government output and damage to both consumer and business confidence.

Officials at the Federal Reserve are likely to hold off any decision on scaling back the U.S. central bank's bond buying until the extent of the economic damage from the budget fight is clearer.

Fed officials will meet next week to discuss monetary policy, on October 29-30. They surprised markets last month by sticking to their 85 billion per month bond-buying pace, saying they wanted to see more evidence of a strong recovery.

Now, many economists think the Fed will hold off on scaling back economic stimulus until next year.

The pattern of employment gains in September was mixed last month, with government payrolls increasing 22,000 jobs after rising 32,000 in August.

The leisure and hospitality industry shed the most jobs since December 2009. There was a small bounce in information sector payrolls, which dropped in August as the motion picture industry shed workers. Construction payrolls increased 20,000, which could ease fears of a leveling off in home building. Manufacturing sector added only 2,000 jobs, while retail employment increased 20,800.
 

Categories: Economy, Politics, United States.

Top Comments

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  • DanyBerger

    “with the unemployment rate dropping a tenth of a percentage point to 7.2%, the lowest level since November 2008”

    Meanwhile in the real world real unemployment in US is the double of what is reported.

    Total Unemployment figure 13.6% and cooked by the Obamaboso US BLS.

    Oct 23rd, 2013 - 04:08 am 0
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