Embraer's 20-year market outlook: 6,250 new jets in 70 to 130-seat segment

Saturday, July 19th 2014 - 07:11 UTC

Full article 6 comments

Brazil leading aircraft manufacturer and space research company, Embraer has released its Market Outlook 2014-2033 which details the company's forecast for deliveries of new 70 to 130-seat jet aircraft over the next twenty years. The report examines the main drivers contributing to air transport growth and reviews projected deliveries by world region. Read full article

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ChrisR
20 years eh?

At least those making these ambitious predictions will probably have moved on by then so won't be around to be sacked.

No mention of the Chinese plane industry: oh, of course, they cannot get one jet engine of theirs to run after 10 years of 'development' (aka copying) and have to beg the Russians for ALL the engines they can sell them.

The Ruskies though are getting pissed off with the Chin copying everything military that they sell to them and are considering shutting the door to new planes completely.
Jul 19th, 2014 - 08:04 pm - Link - Report abuse 0
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ilsen
I heard the Chinese will be buying quite a few from Brazil.

But I expect once they have figured out how to copy them, trade will stall. However, considering what ChrisR says, Brazil may get a few years of business first...
Jul 19th, 2014 - 11:13 pm - Link - Report abuse 0
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ChrisR
@2 ilsen

They can copy the airframe and reverse engineer the electronics but their lack of metallurgical skills led them to close down the engine factory.

Japan won't sell them the metals they need for the engine core either so they are dead in the water with the engine project.
Jul 20th, 2014 - 11:57 am - Link - Report abuse 0
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Chicureo
With all respect, the Brazilian, Chinese and Russian aircraft manufactures will use British, American and French engines as well as other components for their airframes. Not even the Americans use 100% national components anymore for commercial aircraft.
Jul 21st, 2014 - 05:10 am - Link - Report abuse 0
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ChrisR
@ 4 Chicureo

For commercial planes yes (Rolls Royce have supplied Boeing fitments for four years): but for fighter aircraft no (unless the French do their usual treacherous self-serving act).

Please do not overlook that fighter engines are under much more stress than commercial operations: they need swapping out at a fraction of the hours and must have much stronger cores to withstand the G- forces at even higher core operating temperatures. Bending of the shaft during flight results in all the turbine blades hitting the shroud and exiting through the side of the engine: nasty!

Presently ALL the Chin fighters are powered by Russian engines. If the Russians stop the complete supply of all engines Chin fighter operations would cease once the present engines are time expired. They presently will NOT supply engines more advanced than the Al-31.
Jul 21st, 2014 - 07:59 pm - Link - Report abuse 0
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Chicureo
Chris
Oh I totally agree. I was referring to commercial jet production.
I've personally experienced the complications of securing military hardware and parts when your country is not very popular abroad.
Jul 22nd, 2014 - 04:04 pm - Link - Report abuse 0
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