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Brazil's Socialist party announces support for Neves on 26 October runoff

Thursday, October 9th 2014 - 08:28 UTC
Full article 10 comments
“I have become the candidate of change,” Neves said at the PSB's headquarters in Brasilia, where he paid homage to the party's late leader Campos. “I have become the candidate of change,” Neves said at the PSB's headquarters in Brasilia, where he paid homage to the party's late leader Campos.

The political party that launched environmentalist Marina Silva's unsuccessful presidential bid has thrown its support behind pro-business candidate Aecio Neves for Brazil's Oct. 26 runoff vote against populist President Dilma Rousseff.

The decision by the Brazilian Socialist Party increases the likelihood that the bulk of Silva's 22 million votes would go to Neves, raising his chances of defeating Rousseff.

Silva, an anti-establishment figure who wanted to change Brazilian politics by ending polarization between Neves and Rousseff's parties, came third in Sunday's first-round vote. She is expected to endorse Neves on Thursday.

Her backing is crucial for Neves, the market favorite running for the Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB). Neves won 33.6% of the votes to Rousseff's 41.6%, a difference of 8 million votes.

Silva surged in the polls in late August when she was thrust into the race by the death of her running mate and original PSB presidential candidate Eduardo Campos in a plane crash. But her popularity was undercut by an aggressive media blitz by Rousseff and former president Lula da Silva that linked her to Brazil's financial elite and questioned her ability to govern without the backing of traditional parties.

“I have become the candidate of change,” Neves said at the PSB's headquarters in Brasilia, where he paid homage to the party's late leader Campos. “His dreams are now my dreams. His commitments have also become my commitments,” Neves said.

PSB Senator Rodrigo Rollemberg said his party backed Neves because alternation in power was needed in Brazil after the country stagnated for the last four years under Rousseff.

Neves is also seeking endorsement by the influential family of Campos, a former governor of the northeastern state of Pernambuco, where some 2 million votes won by Marina are up for grabs.

“With the explicit support of Marina and the family of Eduardo Campos, Neves can grow in poorer parts of Brazil like the Northeast where Rousseff has a lot of votes due to her government's social programs,” said political scientist Carlos Melo of the Insper, a leading Brazilian business school.

Rousseff kicked off her campaign for the runoff on Wednesday with a whistle-stop trip to Northeastern states to protect her bastion of support from inroads by Neves, who is more popular in the industrialized and agribusiness states of Brazil's south.

Her campaign is portraying a Neves government as one that will bring recession, unemployment and income losses, citing the austerity policies enacted by past administrations of her rival's party.

Investors do not see it that way. Brazilian stocks soared and the currency strengthened early this week on the prospect that Neves could defeat Rousseff, whose heavy-handed economic policies are blamed for driving a once-booming economy into recession this year.
 

Categories: Politics, Brazil.

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  • ChrisR

    Does he really need the votes of 2M deadhead lazy poor?

    Of course he does!

    But will a capitalist be able to convince these cretins that he won't stop their hand-outs?

    Don't miss next weeks exciting episode, NOT.

    Oct 09th, 2014 - 10:28 am 0
  • GeoffWard2

    You need to see the stark picture of North (poor)-v- South (richer).
    Neves is a creature of the South.
    Marina Silva is of the North - Pernambuco - but she and her party are 'giving' their votes to Neves.
    Marina sees, with 20-20 vision, the danger of the poor North controlling the productive South.
    There is much in the North that needs protecting, and many in the North that need a real education, but she knows that if the North is allowed to dominate the South, the result is greater and greater decline in the fortunes of Brasil.

    Please view this graphic of the election results. It is SO graphic!

    https://www.facebook.com/TheEconomist/photos/a.10150279872209060.361054.6013004059/10152742630879060/?type=1&theater

    Oct 09th, 2014 - 02:50 pm 0
  • ChrisR

    @ 2 GeoffWard2

    Thanks for that useful insight to the N / S divide.

    Interesting as that map is, it doesn’t actually help understand the strength of the candidates or assess the number of actual votes required to move to one candidate or another: it’s fatally flawed by being shown in percentage terms.

    Unless the distribution of the people is entirely uniform and we both know that is not the case how can anyone assess who will get the >50% from this map?

    This article also has its arithmetic wrong unless there are only 100M who voted this time: it claims the 8% margin is 8 million votes. There are 142 million people on the voting register so I suppose a 70% turnout would be acceptable?

    Marina Silva took 22 M votes. If all these did migrate to Neves surely this would be more than enough for him to take the presidency?

    Oct 09th, 2014 - 06:12 pm 0
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