Argentina's former Secretary of Culture José Nun said that current poverty in the country is similar to that which preceded the 2001/02 crisis, and underlined that he would never vote for the presidential incumbent candidate Daniel Scioli, who was handpicked by outgoing head of state Cristina Fernandez.
People are simply fed up; in a democracy you can't have a stats office, Indec, which systematically manipulates percentages: having people informed is a necessary condition for any real democracy, said Nun a distinguished Argentine academic of Jewish origin who served with the governments of Nestor Kirchner and Cristina Fernandez from 2004 to 2009.
Poverty is similar to that before the 2001/02 crisis when Argentina defaulted and the economy melted; Central bank reserves are at a similar level to those of the crisis. Those who promise a rosy picture are leading Argentina into an ever less sustainable situation said the former secretary in an interview with a Spanish daily.
Looking back to the 25 October first presidential round, Nun said that public opinion sent a very clear message with its vote which was I'm fed up, and he added we all know that Argentina is a self proclaimed democracy, but it still has a long way to go to that goal.
When asked who would he be voting on the 22 November runoff, Nun was straight to the point, I would never vote for Scioli, however he added he had his reserves about the other candidate Mauricio Macri, who is not very clear about what economic policies he's planning to implement.
Nevertheless, future is somber for Argentina, whatever the result, be it Scioli or Macri.
If Scioli finally replaces Cristina Fernandez, he will go after another currency swap with China hoping for dollars, but it won't be enough and he will have to continue printing money, fostering inflation, pushing prices, and if this happens consumption drops and this is followed by a loss of jobs and redundancies, pointed out Nun.
On the other hand if the winner is Macri, if he ends the dollar clamp and lets the currency float as he has promised, from the very first day he's president, the dollar will climb and climb because it's a scarce asset; imports' prices will soar, including inputs for manufacturing, and the same, less local demand, less jobs, more uncertainty
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Someone prepared to speak the truth. Kicillof declared that they don't give the numbers relating to poverty because it stigmatises the poor. That has to be the most offensive statement he has ever made and the competition is fierce. Pretending the poor do not exist means the problem is not addresses and they become a ghost population.Nov 12th, 2015 - 10:02 am 0
We all know the reserves are all but gone. The K's have limped home but the fuse on the economic bomb has been lit by them.
I also agree that I have reservations about Macri as a character. But he does have the guts to face the problem rather than pretend it does not exist.
@1 Agreed, ElaineB...Nov 12th, 2015 - 10:47 am 0
I must say it's good to hear an honest, balanced opinion coming from the ex-minister. I believe he has hit the nail on the head so to speak. And his concerns about BOTH candidates appear well reasoned and constructed.
His bottom line comment is clear though, I would never vote for Scioli.
That says it all.
Best wishes everyone.
The real problem for Argentina in respect to the actual election is that there are a lot of people like my next door Argentine friend who will not vote 'as it makes no difference however many votes an opponent of TMBOA gets, her candidate will become president'.Nov 12th, 2015 - 11:52 am 0
We shall see.