Fears of a slower economic recovery in Brazil could pave the way for heftier rate cuts, the central bank said clearly signaling more aggressive monetary easing ahead as the country's worst recession in memory worsens. Read full article
Had this bunch cut the rates further and earlier many companies would have taken up the challenge of expanding the market.
Dumb, stupid, finance and government people in SA always think when things are going badly they need to 'recover' lost tax income by putting taxes and interest rates up!
@ChrisR
It's general consensus that increasing interest rates takes money out of the market, reducing spending, disencouraging price hikes and supposedly keeping the cost of living in check, and inflation down, provided the Central Bank doesn't print money to pay the government's bills...
Also, many prominent economists (in the private financial sector) seem to agree on one thing : each reduction of 1% in the SELIC (prime) rate, generates up to 0.8 % inflation in the subsequent quarters, therefore one cannot ignore the consequences of a quick reduction in the interest rate. The high interest rate on the other hand, has the nefarious effect of the government paying out heavy chunks of its revenue to the banks, in the form of interest ; Brazil’s Central Bank also has to consider the US prime rate, and how that’ll behave after Trump takes over…unfortunately, the price of the dollar regulates just about everything in Brazil, in one way or the other. Another thing to be remembered : differently to the Fed, whose job it is to contain inflation and stimulate economic growth, the Brazilian Central has only one mandate - to control inflation…so, in a perverse way, it’s doing its job. One of the negative effects of a quick reduction in the interest rate is the built-in inflationary tax , which chews up income and makes savings worthless. Summarizing, the reforms the government is currently trying to pass, are essential for Brazil to get its finances back on track. Nothing less. At least so far, they haven't increased taxes, which, in a recession makes no sense anyway..
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Disclaimer & comment rulesHad this bunch cut the rates further and earlier many companies would have taken up the challenge of expanding the market.
Dec 12th, 2016 - 01:31 pm - Link - Report abuse 0Dumb, stupid, finance and government people in SA always think when things are going badly they need to 'recover' lost tax income by putting taxes and interest rates up!
That will work - NOT.
@ChrisR
Dec 12th, 2016 - 07:45 pm - Link - Report abuse 0It's general consensus that increasing interest rates takes money out of the market, reducing spending, disencouraging price hikes and supposedly keeping the cost of living in check, and inflation down, provided the Central Bank doesn't print money to pay the government's bills...
Also, many prominent economists (in the private financial sector) seem to agree on one thing : each reduction of 1% in the SELIC (prime) rate, generates up to 0.8 % inflation in the subsequent quarters, therefore one cannot ignore the consequences of a quick reduction in the interest rate. The high interest rate on the other hand, has the nefarious effect of the government paying out heavy chunks of its revenue to the banks, in the form of interest ; Brazil’s Central Bank also has to consider the US prime rate, and how that’ll behave after Trump takes over…unfortunately, the price of the dollar regulates just about everything in Brazil, in one way or the other. Another thing to be remembered : differently to the Fed, whose job it is to contain inflation and stimulate economic growth, the Brazilian Central has only one mandate - to control inflation…so, in a perverse way, it’s doing its job. One of the negative effects of a quick reduction in the interest rate is the built-in inflationary tax , which chews up income and makes savings worthless. Summarizing, the reforms the government is currently trying to pass, are essential for Brazil to get its finances back on track. Nothing less. At least so far, they haven't increased taxes, which, in a recession makes no sense anyway..
The Central Bank minutes, hours, days are already doomed!
Dec 16th, 2016 - 12:17 pm - Link - Report abuse 0Commenting for this story is now closed.
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