Bloomberg’s Misery Index, which tallies inflation and unemployment outlooks for 60 economies shows that almost all of the economies surveyed are projected to be more miserable this year amid Covid-19, with analysts expecting increased joblessness and tepid growth.
Venezuela, Argentina, South Africa, Turkey and Colombia held on to their unenviable rankings from 2019 as the world’s most miserable economies, with Venezuela keeping status as the world’s worse for a sixth straight year. The troubled South American country continues to suffer from soaring prices, with Bloomberg’s Cafe Con Leche Index estimating a current inflation rate of 4,043%.
Thailand claimed the title of the “least miserable” economy, though the government’s unique way of tallying unemployment makes it less noteworthy than Taiwan’s two-spot improvement to No. 6 or Singapore’s bump to No. 2 on that scale.
The Bloomberg Misery Index, now in its sixth year, relies on the age-old concept that low inflation and unemployment show how good a country’s residents feel. This year’s scores are based on Bloomberg surveys of economists’ estimates for 2020 price growth and joblessness in each economy and compares those values to last year’s actual data. The index includes countries for which Bloomberg has sufficient economic forecasts.
Among economies seeing improvements in their Misery Index rankings for 2020:
• Luxembourg’s ranking was most improved this year versus last, moving more favorably to No. 47 from No. 30
• In China, where the coronavirus first took hold, 2020 unemployment and inflation data are projected to be modestly impacted, with the world’s second-biggest economy improving seven spots to No. 44
• Germany’s overall misery score didn’t change much from its actual performance in 2019 — 6.7 versus 6.4 last year — but the European engine improved by 10 spots as it’s seen to be less vulnerable than other economies battling the coronavirus effects on the labor market.
For some, whose misery scores are projected to be lower in 2020 than they were in 2019, including Turkey, even the good news is bad news. The lower misery scores are largely due to weaker demand that’s driven inflation expectations lower.
Top Comments
Disclaimer & comment rulesOh dear, Venezuela and Argentina, but how can this be in Bolivarian utopias.
Aug 23rd, 2020 - 03:51 pm +1And where is Enrique to explain all this, or we might end up with the wrong impression and think thing are actually “bad”, in those countries.
Pugol-H
Aug 30th, 2020 - 09:46 pm 0Good question, where's our resident expert on Venezuela & Argentina's economic affairs ?
Six months into the previous administration he was already ripping into Macri, criticizing his policies, which he claimed were ruining Argentina...as if Macri had been handed a thriving, booming economy.
Funny thing is that relatively speaking, Macri's 4 years were far less disastrous than Nestor's 4 and Cristina's 8.
But don't lose hope, doormat Alberto has still got 3 and a bit years to fix the mess the Kirchner's made in the previous 12.
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