The Inter-American Institute for Cooperation on Agriculture (IICA) and the U.S.-based Fertilizer Institute (TFI) announced a partnership to secure fertilizer supply across the Americas, amid logistical disruptions and price volatility worsened by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to the war between the United States, Israel and Iran. Read full article
Braz
Depends what type of fertilizer you are talking about.
Key Fertilizer Sources for Brazil:
Russia: Primary supplier, accounting for nearly 30% of total imports in 2025, including a significant share of potash and MAP (monoammonium phosphate).
China: A major supplier of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers.
Canada: Key provider of potash.
Other Sources: Saudi Arabia, Morocco, and the United States (sulphur).
You will be able to get fertilizer going forward, but at an increased price, that will be the cost to Brazil in all this.
Also don’t expect things to return to normal anytime soon, if this war ends tomorrow, it will be months if not years before things are back to normal.
Meanwhile Brazil as a BIG importer of fertilizer is going to feel the pinch, no question.
Russia and Belarus manufacture all the fertilizers that Brazil needs. When Brazil buys fertilizer from Canada or China, it's a matter of economic or diplomatic policy.
Therefore, Brazil has secured all of its fertilizer demand for 2026 and 2027.
Furthermore, Brazil is significantly increasing its imports of Russian diesel, replacing purchases that were previously made from the United States.
Braz
There are different types of fertilizer, just like there are different types of fuel, petrol(gasolene) and diesel are both fuels, but you can’t run a petrol car on diesel or vice versa.
Russia/Belarus only supply one type of fertilizer, only 30% of Brazil’s needs. They cannot supply the other types of fertilizer that Brazil needs, 70% of Brazil’s total imports.
Where Brazil imports at least 85% of its requirements.
You're getting your information from Google Gemini. This artificial intelligence is unreliable. Just like anything coming from the United States:
1. The numbers provided are based on what the SWIFT system can detect. More than half of Brazilian foreign trade is done outside of that platform;
2. Brazil and Russia use currency swaps in intra-trade, so it's impossible for the AI you're using to have access to reliable values and sources, since there are no records of values or transactions in dollars.
3. For diplomatic reasons, trade between Brazil and Russia is underestimated.
What I mean is two things: Russia produces and can fully meet the exponential Brazilian demand; and the West is completely blind to the diversion of trade to other platforms. You no longer have access to values, quantities, spreads, and especially, to what is being traded.
Regarding the rise in input prices, we have faced this type of problem several times, whether in the devaluations of our currency or in the systemic crises of capitalism (2008, Covid). The only thing I can guarantee is that Brazil will be one of the countries in the world least affected by the crisis of the war promoted by the United States.
Once again, the Empire shoots itself in the foot, as it will be impacted in a completely devastating way. The social unraveling of the United States and Europe has only just begun.
Russia only exported 45 million tons of fertilizer in 2025. The three biggest customers being Brazil, India and China.
To ‘fully meet the exponential Brazilian demand’ going forward, Russia would have to stop supplying India and China completely and drastically reduce its own consumption, to be able to do that.
Not very likely.
no, you are wrong, Brazil is going to feel the pinch, no question, both in terms of cost and availability.
Pugol, even if what you say happens, Brazil won't be harmed.
The world needs our agricultural products. If there's less food supply, world prices will rise, and even that will compensate Brazil.
Honestly, I hope there won't be an increase in inflation in Western supermarkets. Here in Brazil, if there is inflation, it will be minimal, especially since our currency is very strong against the euro/dollar.
Furthermore, Brazil exports 1.8 million barrels of oil per day. At a price of $90 per barrel, this would represent a gain of over $20 billion per year in our trade balance.
In other words, Brazil wins either way.
It was good talking to you. At least there was mutual respect.
Comments
Disclaimer & comment rulesWith regard to fertilizers, Brazil's needs are fully met by Russia. Brazil has no land bridges through the Strait of Hormuz.
Apr 09th, 2026 - 11:00 am - Link - Report abuse 0Russia has already guaranteed our demand for 2026 and 2027. And our crops are projected to yield record production.
Braz
Apr 09th, 2026 - 01:04 pm - Link - Report abuse 0Depends what type of fertilizer you are talking about.
Key Fertilizer Sources for Brazil:
Russia: Primary supplier, accounting for nearly 30% of total imports in 2025, including a significant share of potash and MAP (monoammonium phosphate).
China: A major supplier of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers.
Canada: Key provider of potash.
Other Sources: Saudi Arabia, Morocco, and the United States (sulphur).
You will be able to get fertilizer going forward, but at an increased price, that will be the cost to Brazil in all this.
Also don’t expect things to return to normal anytime soon, if this war ends tomorrow, it will be months if not years before things are back to normal.
Meanwhile Brazil as a BIG importer of fertilizer is going to feel the pinch, no question.
Russia and Belarus manufacture all the fertilizers that Brazil needs. When Brazil buys fertilizer from Canada or China, it's a matter of economic or diplomatic policy.
Apr 09th, 2026 - 02:11 pm - Link - Report abuse 0Therefore, Brazil has secured all of its fertilizer demand for 2026 and 2027.
Furthermore, Brazil is significantly increasing its imports of Russian diesel, replacing purchases that were previously made from the United States.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qcj8Ti-Ml6w
It's certainly true that human corpses make excellent fertilizer and both Russia and Belarus manufacture plenty of these... ;)
Apr 09th, 2026 - 09:20 pm - Link - Report abuse 0Braz
Apr 09th, 2026 - 11:22 pm - Link - Report abuse 0There are different types of fertilizer, just like there are different types of fuel, petrol(gasolene) and diesel are both fuels, but you can’t run a petrol car on diesel or vice versa.
Russia/Belarus only supply one type of fertilizer, only 30% of Brazil’s needs. They cannot supply the other types of fertilizer that Brazil needs, 70% of Brazil’s total imports.
Where Brazil imports at least 85% of its requirements.
Brazil is going to feel the pinch, no question.
You're getting your information from Google Gemini. This artificial intelligence is unreliable. Just like anything coming from the United States:
Apr 10th, 2026 - 09:44 am - Link - Report abuse 01. The numbers provided are based on what the SWIFT system can detect. More than half of Brazilian foreign trade is done outside of that platform;
2. Brazil and Russia use currency swaps in intra-trade, so it's impossible for the AI you're using to have access to reliable values and sources, since there are no records of values or transactions in dollars.
3. For diplomatic reasons, trade between Brazil and Russia is underestimated.
What I mean is two things: Russia produces and can fully meet the exponential Brazilian demand; and the West is completely blind to the diversion of trade to other platforms. You no longer have access to values, quantities, spreads, and especially, to what is being traded.
Regarding the rise in input prices, we have faced this type of problem several times, whether in the devaluations of our currency or in the systemic crises of capitalism (2008, Covid). The only thing I can guarantee is that Brazil will be one of the countries in the world least affected by the crisis of the war promoted by the United States.
Once again, the Empire shoots itself in the foot, as it will be impacted in a completely devastating way. The social unraveling of the United States and Europe has only just begun.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T8ylGQIp5hs
Braz
Apr 10th, 2026 - 12:39 pm - Link - Report abuse 0According to most sources, including Brazilian ones, Brazil imported a record 45.5 million tonnes of fertilizers in 2025.
Again, according to most sources, including this one:
https://english.news.cn/20260204/d777f1ec667849c88ac3d26c5286a559/c.html
Possibly a believable source for you?
Russia only exported 45 million tons of fertilizer in 2025. The three biggest customers being Brazil, India and China.
To ‘fully meet the exponential Brazilian demand’ going forward, Russia would have to stop supplying India and China completely and drastically reduce its own consumption, to be able to do that.
Not very likely.
no, you are wrong, Brazil is going to feel the pinch, no question, both in terms of cost and availability.
Pugol, even if what you say happens, Brazil won't be harmed.
Apr 10th, 2026 - 01:38 pm - Link - Report abuse 0The world needs our agricultural products. If there's less food supply, world prices will rise, and even that will compensate Brazil.
Honestly, I hope there won't be an increase in inflation in Western supermarkets. Here in Brazil, if there is inflation, it will be minimal, especially since our currency is very strong against the euro/dollar.
Furthermore, Brazil exports 1.8 million barrels of oil per day. At a price of $90 per barrel, this would represent a gain of over $20 billion per year in our trade balance.
In other words, Brazil wins either way.
It was good talking to you. At least there was mutual respect.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LvdLovAaYzM
Oh, there are up sides in this for Brazil, food and oil exports being two of them, however the inflation generated will be global and hit everyone.
Apr 10th, 2026 - 01:47 pm - Link - Report abuse 0Brazil will ride the storm though.
I agree, a respectful conversation.
Commenting for this story is now closed.
If you have a Facebook account, become a fan and comment on our Facebook Page!