By Kenneth Rogoff
Markets nowadays are fixated on how high the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in the next 12 months. This is dangerously shortsighted: the real concern ought to be how far it could cut rates in the next deep recession. Given that the Fed may struggle just to get its base interest rate up to 2% over the coming year, there will be very little room to cut if a recession hits.
The European Central Bank has announced it will stop printing €500 notes in 2018. It says the move is to stop the notes being used by money launderers and criminals. In effect they are easily transportable. A million Euros in €500 notes weighs 2.2 kilograms and can be carried in a laptop bag.
Europeans, including IMF chief and Americans clashed on Thursday in Davos during a debate on monetary stimulus that degenerated into a skirmish over the European Union economy and the Euro.
The US is under intense pressure to nominate a top candidate for the World Bank presidency after developing countries put forward two credible contenders of their own.