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Rousseff and Neves in 'statistical tie' according to the latest opinion polls

Friday, October 10th 2014 - 05:18 UTC
Full article 10 comments
Excluding undecided voters, spoiled and blank votes, the polls showed Neves would win the runoff by 51% of valid votes against 49% for Rousseff Excluding undecided voters, spoiled and blank votes, the polls showed Neves would win the runoff by 51% of valid votes against 49% for Rousseff

Pro-business candidate Aecio Neves has a slight lead of 2 percentage points over President Dilma Rousseff ahead of the October 26 runoff in Brazil's presidential elections, according to two new polls released on Thursday.

Neves has 46% of the vote against 44% for Rousseff, the surveys by the Datafolha and Ibope polling firms said. The difference is within the margin of error of both polls and considered a statistical tie.

The surveys were the first by Brazil's two major polling firms since Sunday's first-round vote in which populist Rousseff won 41.6% of the votes cast to 33.6% for Neves.

Excluding undecided voters, spoiled and blank votes, the polls showed Neves wound win the runoff by 51% of the valid votes against 49% for Rousseff if it was held today.

Ibope poll interviewed 3,010 voters Tuesday through Thursday and has a margin of error of 2 percentage points. It was commissioned by the Estado de S.Paulo newspaper and the Globo media group.

Datafolha polled 2,884 voters on Wednesday and Thursday. Its poll has a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points. It was commissioned by the Folha de S. Paulo newspaper and the Globo media group.

 

Categories: Politics, Brazil.

Top Comments

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  • ChrisR

    There was an 8% margin in favour of DumbAss Dilma in the first round results between this pair, now zero.

    What does that say if the trend shown so far in favour of Neves continues?

    He would win.

    But we are in the land of 'whataboutery' here, very similar to that that economists live in.

    Oh dear! But on 'the other hand' who GAF, it's only a third world country after all. :o)

    Oct 10th, 2014 - 09:37 am 0
  • BOTINHO

    Agree Jack -

    Another not to believe poll with incorrect data meant to sway the undecided voters.

    Simply stated, those who voted for President Dilma will do so again. Those who voted for Marina Silva and Neves will not split the vote, BUT COMBINE FOR NEVES.

    Oct 10th, 2014 - 05:52 pm 0
  • ChrisR

    @ 2 BOTINHO

    I'm not Jack! And he is very grateful I am not. :o)

    But thank you for agreeing with me.

    Oct 10th, 2014 - 06:20 pm 0
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