Oil hits new high ahead of US sanctions on Iran supply, and despite Russia and Saudi higher production

Thursday, October 4th 2018 - 07:04 UTC

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Brent crude rose US$1.49, to settle at US$ 86.29 a barrel, and U.S. crude settled at US$ 76.41 a barrel, after touching a session high of US$ 76.90

Earlier crude had been pushed lower as Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said the kingdom had raised output to 10.7 million barrels per day in October

Russia and Saudi Arabia struck a private deal in September to raise oil output to cool rising prices and informed the United States before a meeting in Algiers

Brent crude rose nearly 2% after hitting a four-year high on Wednesday as the market focused on upcoming U.S. sanctions on Iran while shrugging off the year’s largest weekly build in U.S. crude stockpiles and reports of higher Saudi Arabian and Russian production.

“Nothing matters between here and Nov. 4,” said Bob Yawger, director of futures at Mizuho in New York, referring to the date when U.S. sanctions take full effect. “You just had the biggest build this year, and the market rallied right through it.”

U.S. crude inventories jumped 8 million barrels last week, quadruple analysts’ expectations and the biggest build since March 2017, the Energy Information Administration said.

Brent crude rose US$1.49, or 1.8%, to settle at US$ 86.29 a barrel, after hitting US$ 86.74, its highest since Oct. 30, 2014. U.S. crude settled US$ 1.18, or 1.6%, higher at US$ 76.41 a barrel, after touching a session high of US$ 76.90.

Both benchmarks dipped briefly after the U.S. government released inventory figures, then resumed their climb.

“The speculative community took an opportunity to buy on the dip,” Yawger said.

Earlier in the session, crude had been pushed lower as Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said the kingdom had raised output to 10.7 million barrels per day in October and would pump more in November. The record high for Saudi output is 10.72 million bpd in November 2016.

Russia and Saudi Arabia struck a private deal in September to raise oil output to cool rising prices and informed the United States before a meeting in Algiers with other producers.

Iran, however, accused Saudi Arabia and Russia of breaking OPEC’s agreement on output cuts by producing more crude, adding that the two countries would not be able to produce enough oil to make up for a reduction in Iranian exports.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies have been limiting supply since 2017 to get rid of a glut. They partially relaxed the cut in June, under pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump to cool prices.