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UK fifth successive quarter of recession in April-June

Saturday, July 25th 2009 - 07:19 UTC
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The declination of 0.8% was far worse than expected totalling 5,8% in a year. The declination of 0.8% was far worse than expected totalling 5,8% in a year.

Hopes of a swift end to the United Kingdom recession were shaken after figures showed a far worse than expected decline of 0.8% in the economy between April and June. The UK's fifth successive quarter of recession was much deeper than the 0.3% forecast, stunning experts and business leaders.

The British economy has slumped 5.6% since the second quarter of 2008, according to the Office for National Statistics' (ONS) estimates - the biggest fall since its records began in 1955.

IHS Global Insight economist Howard Archer called the figures “a really nasty and disappointing shock”, while the Institute of Directors warned of a “long, slow path” to recovery.

Senior policy adviser Corin Taylor said: “It looks like this recession still has some way to go, and we don't expect growth to resume before 2010.”

Although the figures may be revised by the ONS when it has more data on the economy, it puts pressure on Chancellor Alistair Darling's forecast of a return to growth by the end of this year.

The economy has now shrunk by 5.7% since the first quarter of 2008, the ONS said. This is more than double the depth of the early 1990s recession and approaching the level of the slump seen in the early 1980s.

Although the figures bettered the sharp 2.4% contraction seen in the first three months of 2009 - the worst quarterly slump since 1958 - experts were hoping for a much bigger improvement in the economy.

A 0.7% fall in output from business services and finance - the worst since the ONS began measuring the sector in 1983 was the biggest driver behind the 0.8% second quarter decline. The services industry - accounting for almost three-quarters of overall economic output - showed a 0.6% fall.

Construction industry output fell 2.2% over the quarter and is now 14.7% below the same period last year, which is the biggest fall since records began in 1948. Production industry output - such as construction, mining and manufacturing - fell 0.7% between April and June, the ONS added.

Categories: Economy, International.

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