The latest Uruguayan central bank decision to further hike interest rates is “unlikely to do much to tackle stubbornly high inflation” and contrary to this could end acting as a magnet for foreign capital inflow, “aggravating the very problem it seeks to address”, says Michael Henderson from Capital Economics.
Uruguay's central bank raised its benchmark interest rate 25 basis points to 9% on Friday in a bid to cool inflation expectations. The bank had held the rate steady at its last two monthly monetary policy meetings.
The Uruguayan economy experienced a slight deceleration in the second quarter of this year, but with an overall positive evolution. GDP increased 0.8% over the previous quarter and 3.8% over the same quarter a year ago, according to the latest release from the Central bank.
Consumer prices in Uruguay rose 0.93% during August, above expectations and leaving the Central bank with not much margin to apply counter measures. In the twelve months to August inflation was 7.88%, up from July’s 7.48%.
Uruguay's central bank unveiled measures on Wednesday aimed at cooling the local Peso's appreciation by discouraging foreign investment in the bank's short-term debt. To combat the Peso's rise, officials ordered that 40% of new foreign capital invested in central bank bills be frozen in an account at the central bank.
Uruguay must adopt an attitude of “serene alert” given the “uncertainty and uncommon volatility” prevailing in the world said central bank president Mario Bergara, underlining the country has reduced “vulnerabilities” considerably.
Uruguay's central bank said on Monday it will raise marginal reserve requirements on local and foreign currency deposits from Aug. 1 as part of its efforts to bring inflation within the official target range.
The Uruguayan economy is set to grow 3.57% in 2012 which is below the government’s forecast according to the latest analysts and businesspeople poll published last Friday by the central bank.
Uruguay's central bank held its benchmark interest rate steady at 8.75% on Tuesday, citing reasonable economic growth and persistent concern about inflation expectations above target.
Uruguay wants to expand its nascent local sovereign debt market to improve the liquidity of its securities, said Azucena Arbeleche, the head of the country’s debt management unit at the Ministry of Economy and Finance.