Drought is causing havoc in Argentina and Paraguay. Argentina’s wheat crop for the 2022/23 season is the most delayed in a decade, as a period of lack of rainfall and early frosts is forcing farmers to delay planting the winter crop.
Soybeans, corn, sugar, coffee, beef, pork, and chicken are the main goods in Brazil’s export portfolio, and should benefit from the current 'food inflation' in world markets until probably 2023, says analyst Elizabeth Johnson from the TS Lombardy consultancy.
Despite a reduction of 10.5 million tons from the original estimate, leaving total production well off the record of 138.8 million tons from 2021, the Brazilian Association of Vegetable Oil Industry did not change its processing forecast for this year, which is projected at 48 million tons with healthy margins in the manufacture of bran and oil.
Paraguay's meager output of soybeans this year will prevent it from capitalizing on soaring international prices, it was reported in Asunción.
The Government of Argentina Monday went back on its steps and reopened exports of soybeans and their by-products after a decision on March 13 to close the registry for sales abroad imposed by Undersecretary of Agricultural Markets Javier Preciado Patiño.
The government of Argentine Sunday decided to shut down all registrations for new soybean oil and soybean meal exports until further notice, it was announced. Authorities are also said to be planning a 2% rise to export taxes of industrial by-products, to level it up with the 33% charged to soybeans.
China will begin the sale of state-owned reserves to increase supply in the world’s largest oilseed market, the National Food and Strategic Reserves Administration announced, although no auction volumes or dates were advanced.
The threat of a full-scale war has increased fears of shortages in the near future, driving prices up. The ton of soybeans rose 2.4% and closed at US$ 615.45, while corn grew 1.3% to close at US$ 269.19 and wheat climbed 3.6% and to reach US$ 321.87, it was reported.
The Union of Production Guilds Paraguay Wednesday said it foresaw 2022 will be a tough year for the agricultural sector due to the current drought which will mean, among other setbacks, the worst soybean harvest in the last 25 years, or US $ 2 billion less to the country's economy.
Paraguay's Agriculture Ministry has announced between 6 and 7 million tons of soybeans were to be harvested this season against the original projections of 10 million due to the unprecedented weather conditions.