Moody's Investors Service last Friday announced it had upgraded Uruguay's government bond rating to Baa2 from Baa3, and assigned a stable outlook to the Baa2 rating. The upgrade was driven by the strengthening of Uruguay's sovereign credit profile, as reflected by the convergence of fiscal and debt metric, an overall government debt profile that is currently associated with moderate credit risks, and the country's reduced vulnerabilities to regional and commodity shocks.
Uruguay's fiscal deficit climbed to 3.2% of GDP during March, the highest since October 2003, --equivalent to 1.69 billion dollars--, but Economy minister Mario Bergara said that there is no risk for the sustainability of public accounts or sustainability of current macroeconomic policies.
While Uruguay's current financial position is significantly stronger than in the early 2000s when its economy suffered from the effects of the Argentine crisis, a severe downturn in Argentina could still have an important impact on Uruguay's economy through a variety of transmission channels, according to a new special report published by Fitch Ratings.
Inflation in Uruguay during March reached 0.58% accumulating 4.74% in the first quarter and 9.73% in the last twelve months, which is seen as 'positive' and an indication that recent measures to contain prices are 'being successful', according to Economy minister Mario Bergara.
Consumer prices in Uruguay during January soared 2.44%, according to the latest release from the stats office, INE, and the highest percentage since 2002. This means accumulated inflation in the last twelve months reached 9,10%, compared to the 8.52% for the twelve months of 2013.
Uruguayan exports in 2013 increased 4.8% in value and reached a record 9,155 billion dollars with soybean the main item and China the leading trade partner. The data was released by the government export promotion organization Uruguay XXI, which sometimes is over optimistic.
Human life isn’t all bad, but it sometimes feels that way. Good news is no news: the headlines mostly tell of strife and bail-outs, failure and folly.
The Uruguayan economy contracted 0.7% in the third quarter compared to the previous quarter, although it jumped 3.3% over the same period a year ago, according to the latest release from the Central bank in Montevideo. During the second quarter, the expansion had reached 2.4%, and 1.5% previous to that.
Consumer prices in Uruguay during November increased 0.2% over the previous month with annual inflation reaching 8.51% compared to the 8.67% of October. Nevertheless in the eleven months of 2013, consumer prices have climbed 9.31%, which is a whole percentage point higher than the same period a year ago, according to the latest release from the country's Stats Office, INE.
Vice-president Danilo Astori confirmed that Uruguay will continue with its current flexible foreign exchange policy, because this has helped us reduce volatilities, but also admitted concern about inflation, the third highest in South America and fourth in Latin-American and the Caribbean.