Argentina's economy shrank 4.3% year-on-year in June, a much sharper contraction than expected in the first official growth data reported during President Mauricio Macri's term.
Most Argentines believe the economic situation is bad or very bad, but are also convinced things are set to improve, according to the latest public opinion poll released which coincides with the first six month of president Mauricio Macri's government. However it must also be mentioned that negative tendencies are increasing while positive ones are declining compared to last 10 December.
Argentina's economy grew 0.8% on the first quarter of the year compared to the same period last year, Central Bank Governor Federico Sturzenegger said, declaring that since President Mauricio Macri took office employment has remained “stable.”
Despite the Argentine government’s forecast of a much better economic scenario in the second half of the year, credit rating agency Moody’s disagrees, saying the economy is set to shrink by 1.5%, followed by a growing unemployment and an inflation rate well above 30%.
Latin America and the Caribbean will post an overall 0.5% economic contraction in 2016, the International Monetary Fund forecast in its latest report, capping the region's worst two-year period since the 1982 debt crisis. But the IMF said the region is expected to rebound to 1.5% growth in 2017, avoiding the lost decade phenomenon that marked the 1980s.
Argentina's GDP is expected to contract by about 1% in 2016, according to the latest IMF Regional Economic Outlook; Western Hemisphere, announced on Wednesday in Mexico. The chapter on Argentina makes a special mention of the new government's changes to remove macroeconomic imbalances.
Argentina's Finance Minister Alfonso Prat Gay said on Thursday that the first day in the market without the dollar restrictions imposed by the previous administration, had been positive and as they had planned or expected. Compared to the previous multi-tier system, the dollar appreciated in the range of 25% against the Peso in the unified market.
By Rengaraj Viswanathan (*) Mauricio Macri’s win will inspire the centre-right opposition parties that hope to replace leftist governments in Brazil and Venezuela but it is too early to declare, as some observers are doing, that the result marks the end of the Left in the region
Any country, any economy needs confidence and positive expectations, and that is what is lacking, and has been lacking in Argentina for many years, said Jorge Brito, head of the Association of Argentine banks, who nevertheless warned about the impacts of a 'rough' adjustment on the economy.
Addressing the UN General Assembly, President Cristina Fernandez accused the United States of 'protecting' a former Argentine intelligence agent, blasted the speculative or 'vulture funds', gave details of the Iran-US-Argentina dealings and to everybody's surprise did not mention a word about the Falkland Islands sovereignty claim.