If recent evidence is anything to go by, Brazil’s latest effort to stem the rise in the Real is unlikely to have a lasting impact on the markets, according to Capital Economics.
Venezuela's nationwide consumer price index (NCPI), prepared by the Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV) and the National Statistics Institute (INE), showed a 1.4% increase in March 2011 compared to February 2011.
Uruguay consumer prices soared 1.42% in March, reaching 8.17% in the last twelve months and 3.6% in the first quarter, which is dangerously close to the twelve month government target of 3% to 7%, which theoretically should go down to 4% to 6% next June.
Uruguay's central bank this week surprised local economists and raised its benchmark interest rate 100 base points, one percentage point to 7.5%, in an attempt to help combat accelerating inflation which is beyond the government's target range.
Billionaire Warren Buffet who urged United States in 2009 to guard against inflation, said investors should avoid long-term fixed-income bets in US dollars because the currency’s purchasing power will decline.
Brazilian Central bank President Alexandre Tombini admitted inflation forecasts may “worsen”. Consumer prices in the 12 months through mid-March rose 6.13%, the biggest jump in more than two years.
Goldman Sachs raised its forecast for Argentina’s economic growth in 2011 after the economy expanded last year at the fastest pace since 2005. Alberto Ramos Goldman Sachs economist raised the GDP expansion estimate to 6.8% from a previous 5.6%, according to an e-mail statement.
Several Argentine provinces mistrustful of government statistics, particularly inflation have mounted their own offices which show that consumer prices in the last twelve months have soared on average 27.5%, which is almost two and a half times the official index applicable to Buenos Aires City and Buenos Aires province
Uruguay's central bank must act swiftly after a surge in consumer prices during the first two months of the year or the economy could suffer “serious problems,” a recognized research company has warned.
Inflation in Argentina advanced 0.7% in February over the previous month pushed mainly by increases in the clothing sector (2.2%) and leisure activities (3.5%), according to the official Indec National Statistics Bureau. During the first two months of the year, the consumer prices index accumulated 1.5%.