Standard & Poor's (S&P) decided on Tuesday to maintain Uruguay's sovereign debt risk rating unchanged at the lowest investment grade BBB-, because although it has solid growth prospects, predictable policies and a favorable debt profile, the country still has limited fiscal and monetary flexibility and lives in a neighborhood experimenting 'economic stress'.
Uruguay’s GDP expanded 3.9% last in 2012 over the previous year despite a slight contraction in the fourth quarter, according to a late Wednesday release from the Central bank. The bank’s original estimate was 4%. In 2011 the economy grew a revised 6.5%.
Uruguay’s Central bank raised its benchmark interest rate on Friday for the second time this year as policy makers struggle to bring inflation into the government’s target range. The IMF and local economists have warned about the need to “tackle inflation”, particularly since the budget’s fiscal deficit has soared in just twelve months from 0.4% of GDP to over 3% of GDP.
“Tackling inflation is Uruguay’s priority” said the International Monetary Fund board on Friday after inflation in October climbed to 9.1%. Monetary policy is not enough: the government must make efforts to cut back government spending and moderating wage growth insisted the IMF.
Uruguay’s economy grew faster than economists expected in the third quarter, spurred by increased construction, transportation and communications activity. GDP expanded 3% from a year earlier, the central bank said on Thursday on its website. The economy grew 1.2 percent from the second quarter, the bank said.
Uruguayan president Jose Mujica appealed to workers and entrepreneurs to avoid an escalation of salaries and prices which leads “to all sort of fiddling” as is happening in Argentina.
Uruguay’s central bank said that consumer prices, excluding the most volatile items, have increased almost 11% in the last twelve months to September. Fresh fruit and vegetables, cigarettes and public utility rates are considered ‘volatile prices’.
Panama was the country with the greatest increase in per capita GDP in the last five years, followed by Uruguay, Peru, Dominican Republic and Chile according to a report from the digital publication Latinvex.
Uruguay’s GDP expanded 4.8% in the second quarter from a year earlier, the central bank said Wednesday on its website.
The Uruguayan economy expanded 2.3% in January-March over the previous quarter, which has elevated forecasts for the twelve months of 2011 to a floor of 6.5%. However the Uruguayan government is concerned that consumption again expanded at a higher rate than GDP.