President Michel Temer's will press ahead with ambitious plans to balance the budget, reform pensions and draw private money into the energy sector despite the loss of two ministers to a corruption scandal, his chief of staff said on Thursday.
Brazil's economy sank further into recession in the first quarter, contracting 5.4% relative to the same three-month period of last year, the government said Wednesday. Compared with the final quarter of 2015, the economy shrank by 0.3%, according to the state-run Brazilian Institute for Geography and Statistics, or IBGE.
The Brazilian government posted a primary budget surplus in April well above market expectations due to a seasonal increase in tax revenues and a drop in subsidies, a senior official said on Monday. The government, which is struggling to lift the economy out of a deep recession, posted a primary budget surplus of 9.751 billion reais (US$2.72 billion) in April.
Brazil's interim president announced austerity measures on Tuesday aimed at pulling Latin America's largest economy from its worst crisis in decades, warning that a failure to act would sentence future generations to “extraordinary hardship.” Speaking with government leaders in a national televised meeting, interim president Michel Temer, 75, also banged his hand on the table while insisting he was up to the job.
Brazil's fiscal deficit prior to debt interest payments could reach 150 billion Reais (US$42.10 billion) this year as revenues collapse amid a crippling recession economy, Finance Minister Henrique Meirelles warned on Wednesday. The deficit includes eventual losses from state electricity holding Eletrobras.
Brazil’s recession is expected to deepen this year as economists brace for an even steeper contraction than in 2015. Economists have downgraded their 2016 outlook for Latin America’s largest economy for the 15th week in a row, according to the weekly Focus survey of about 100 economists by the Brazilian central bank.
Latin America and the Caribbean will post an overall 0.5% economic contraction in 2016, the International Monetary Fund forecast in its latest report, capping the region's worst two-year period since the 1982 debt crisis. But the IMF said the region is expected to rebound to 1.5% growth in 2017, avoiding the lost decade phenomenon that marked the 1980s.
As the political battle to remove president Dilma Rousseff rages on, with both sides seeming to ignore the necessary confidence and certainty for normal business, economists are becoming increasingly pessimistic about Brazil's economic outlook.
Brazil exhausted its economic model, the domestic market is no longer enough and Brazilian protectionism hindered competitiveness and scared foreign investment, claimed retired Brazilian diplomat Jose Botafogo at the international symposium The future of Mercosur organized in Paraguay as part of the 25th anniversary celebration of the South American block.
Analysts expect Brazil's economy to contract by 3.5% this year, the Central Bank said Monday. Private sector economists, who expected the GDP to contract by 3.45% in the previous weekly survey, also raised their inflation projection from 7.57% to 7.59%.